Mark,
Do you know of any other possibly new INTL Routes for 2009?
MIA-GEO (discussions on going; AA officials in Guyana next week)
MIA-FDF/PTP (Delta is pulling out this month; AA will fly there if they pick up some of the travel contracts DL had)
MIA-CTG (countering Spirit)
MIA-BON (Saturday-only service)
MIA-GND (working with Grenada government to get incentive package)
MIA-AZS (local resorts are putting together a revenue guarantee plan)
JFK-NCE (if fuel prices improve),
MIA-SSA/REC/FOR (if Brazilian INAC approves them; AA is ready to fly them, discussions have been ongoing for three years now; it was close to being approved as of late, but TAM, who is opposed to such expansion of the air treaty, has told Brazil's INAC that they will start flying from Miami to more Northeast points in 2009, which is either the truth, or an effort to stall AA and DL's ongoing attempts to enter Northeast Brazil).
DFW-KIN (hard to believe, I know, but this is being pushed hard by Jamaican authorities and AA is listening to them).
MIA/DFW-RTB (this service has been in the cards forever! It's a matter of if, not when; I wouldn't even be surprised if it launched from Dallas first).
Obviously I know more about planned MIA expansion then other. I'm sure there are plenty of routes being looked at, but few will launch. Possibly look for more JFK-Caribbean routes next winter, following up the recent launches of JFK-SKB/UVF.
It will be interesting to see how much capacity is shifted to international flying. I think we will definitley see two new Europe routes in 2009, probably from JFK.
There is a clear trend, though, in AA's 2008/2009 expansion: incentives. They are being careful, and want to share the risk of new routes with willing governments, tourism boards, hotels, etc.