I’ll interject not because I have irrefutable facts regarding the number of active east pilot from five years ago to today, but because I want to see this subtopic come to a conclusion. There are way too many variables that go into the “active” pilot analysis to make a proper and undisputed determination
So, let’s not try to determine growth but rather hypothesize on if the east pilots have seen improvement gains since emerging from bankruptcy and merging with HP.
1.Did the east increase its international flying since the merger?
a. Are there more or less international cities served in 2011 vs. 2005?2. While many east domestic route changes have occurred since 2005, has there been a measurable decrease in the number of east pilots required for east operations? I assume the number of east pilots newly furloughed from 2005 to 2011 would be a sound metric.
b. Are there more or less total international flights in 2011 vs. 2005?
c. Are there more or less ETOPS aircraft flown by the east in 2011 vs. 2005?
d. Does an increase in international destinations represent a benefit to east pilots?
3. Are there more or less pilots on furlough in 2011 vs. 2005?
4. Despite the age 65 rule change, did any east pilots upgrade to the left seat between 2005 and 2011? If so, did these upgrades occur because of early retirements or because the east operations required captain positions above and beyond the left seat attrition rates?
5. What is the net increase/decrease in EMB190 AC in 2011 vs. 2005?
a. Does an increase in east-assigned EMB190 AC benefit east pilots?6. Did the most junior active pilots such as Monda improve more in seniority status (defined by having more pilots junior than the baseline year of 2005) from 2005 to 20011 in comparison to 2001 to 2005? Is this improvement in seniority status a benefit to those junior east pilots (say the bottom 25% of seniority numbers (active or inactive in May of 2005)?
b. Do EMB190’s modify the minimum feet requirements? If not does this flying represent a benefit to east pilots at the most junior positions on the east seniority list or not?
I know my thoughts on the above are that the east pilots have enjoyed many benefits based on these factors that were not available to them in the pre-merger timeframe. The number of east pilots may or may not have “grown” since the merger (too many apple and orange variables to say for sure), but there have been numerous gains for the east when one objectively compares May 2005 to where the east pilots are today. Can you agree with that PI?
If you are tired of S.S.D.D., you need to go somewhere else. I haven't seen many original thoughts around here in a while.
I will try to answer your questions.
1) Yes
a-d) Yes
2) Yes, see the bid summaries I have already posted showing fewer positions now than in '05.
3) Less, because there are none. They returned to replace pilots.
4) Yes, for many reasons
5)Yes
a-b Depends. It has been a mixed blessing that we will all pay for in the end to get the pay right, or they will go away. Many F/Os I flew with would have rather been furloughed than to fly it at the current rates, but the company would not let them have vol. furlough so several filed bankruptcy instead. The fleet does not apply to the min fleet, as I have pointed out many times already.
6)Yes, after sliding for years the slide stopped and with pilots leaving, despite fewer hulls, they moved up. They actually moved up quite a bit while Nic was writing how they had no future.
Yes, I agree there have been gains, because our attrition outgrew our shrinkage. It would be the same on the west, but like the east of old, you shrinkage outran your attrition.
p.s. You know something I was surprised about in this debate? Dates are important, and no one really picked up on them. Clear sort of did, but I think it was more of a stumble. Maybe that means that memories are fading and stuff that really doesn't matter any more will be left behind.