But aren't all pilots ahead of on medical listed as "medical" on the seniority list? (i.e. isn't the current seniority list accurate as far as each pilot's status?)
By your logic of no growth that means all 600 active pilots below Monda were for attrition. When you look at the attrition since 2008 it averages about 30 per year, which means another 500 must have occurred in two years. Then also you have the others listed below Monda as inactive which is another 200 jobs unaccounted for in the "no growth" model. The numbers do not add up.
I may have to go to work, so I don't have much time to look at this, but I did see one thing you might have missed.Disclaimer-I think this is how it worked: When we got the EMB190s guys on furlough could bypass return for it. A lot of guys did that because of the pay, so we brought in the CEL pilots and had to hire pilots to fill the jobs. Then the music stopped and we furloughed, but those guys are still on the list.
It is true that the additions of the 757s, and A330s helped the east and were not shared with the west to your detriment. But, without them they would have had to do something as we are also close to the min fleet, and the EMBs don't count, for good reason. I don't have the block hour numbers.