American has no choice but to get it's maintenace budget leveled with it's competition. Or this BK will be squandered(in this respect-other debt, contractual issues will be achieved).
I tend to agree with much of your post. I've concluded, however, that Horton has already squandered this bankruptcy by giving in on the pension termination issue. Freezing the APFA or TWU pensions won't mean larger retirement checks for most retirees compared to termination, but will cost AA cash. Cash that won't be available for raises in the future. UA and US terminated all their pensions and rid themselves of all those cash obligations. Immoral? Perhaps. Evil? Maybe. Cost advantage? Certainly.
Yes, the others (DL, NW and CO) froze their plans instead of terminating them (except for DL's pilots' plan, which DL terminated). DL will face fairly high pension cash requirements for many years, but the absence of labor unions (other than the pilots) provides DL with some flexibilities that result in lower costs as an offset. Those flexibilities help make up for the DL/NW pension cash payments. CO? It was very small when it froze its pensions and its cash pension obligations are not large, especially since it merged with UA, which has no residual pension obligations (having terminated all of them). CO's rather small pension costs are relatively affordable for a $38 billion airline. Bottom line: UA and DL have a permanent cost advantage over AA if AA does not terminate its very large, very underfunded pensions.
So far, AA is the only airline to file Ch 11 and not demand large hourly paycuts, instead relying on productivity improvements, relaxed scope, more outsourcing and reduced headcount to achieve its labor cost savings. Off that bat, I thought that was a strategic mistake, but it does give Horton the ability to say "At least I didn't whack your hourly pay the way they did at UA, US, DL, NW or CO when they filed their bankruptcies." Some AA employees (not the typical vocal ones who post here) might give Horton some credit on that score. On the pensions, however, not terminating them doesn't provide more money for most employees, so there's no comparable credit to give him (if one was so inclined).