AA89
Veteran
- Jun 1, 2010
- 690
- 320
The airplanes being overhauled at AFW may not be disappearing in bankruptcy, but I'd say the equivalent of AFW's capacity has already left or is scheduled to leave the fleet.
Here are a few snapshots in time for you....
Code:Year 2011 2008 2003 2001 1999 AA Fleet 608 626 770 881 697 Eagle Fleet 299 266 271 276 268 Widebody 120 146 153 161 155 Narrowbody 488 480 617 720 542
(I included the Eagle numbers to refute the oft-repeated argument that Eagle grew at AA's expense -- their fleet size has been relatively flat up until the last CR7 order for 20 aircraft)
Overall, from 1999 when AA only had 2 overhaul bases, AA's got 89 fewer aircraft, and 35 fewer widebodies (essentially, the entire A300 fleet).
I haven't tried to map out the deliveries and retirements yet because until the S1110 process is done, there's not much point.
Looking at the current fleet, there are about 200 MD80 + 121 B757 + 15 B762's (total 336) that I'd expect to see retired.
There are firm orders for 135 738's and 130 A320's, which would cover the MD80's and then a mix of the other two fleets. If the company exercises options, they'd be able to retire all three fleets plus growth aircraft, or possibly retiring some of the Y2000 vintage B738's at the end of the program, at which point they'd be close to 20 years old.
All in all, I wouldn't expect to see the AA fleet being mich above 650-700 by the time all is said and done, which again, is getting you to the 1999 fleet.
Assuming that all widebodies are outsourced, that leaves about 550 aircraft to maintain with TUL, which seems entirely doable.
[/quote
The need for AFW was the point in the first place after you stated that the work at AFW wasn't required anymore. Assuming the widebodies are outsourced then this is all meaningless. If not, and the work on existing aircraft and the newer ones would have to be done at AFW or Tulsa. I haven't been to Tulsa in 22 years and I don't know if there is enough widebody capacity there for present needs or future but I don't think so. So it is up to AFW to prove its worth. Thus the ad in Sunday's paper.
Aircraft numbers tell some of the story but so does age and airframe time determine overhaul needs. I think a combination of the 3 would be a better snapshot of what was required in the past, is required now, and what will be required in the future..
I don't have my head in the sand about what we are facing with a new fleet but both bases have had work fluctuaute over the years with fleet changes. If the company wants to follow the other airlines and outsource widebody work they will do it no matter if it makes good business sense or not. I would say they have as much outsourceitis as anyone here as not my stationitis.