I've gotta say, while I disagree, this was a great post.
That said, I'd like to address how I disagree with these two points. To the first, present financial situations do have a bearing on negotiations, but it is not absolute. In the first place, our CBAs are negotiated for a period of several years, years in which the situations of our airline can change. Secondly, the Company or Union (I've never known of a Union to do this, but it's possible) can delay a new contract changing the terms out for years. Both sides know this, they understand this, and they use it to their advantage. While it's entirely correct to say that US is not "well" financially at the moment, there is substantial reason, supported by the Companies material, to believe that things are turning around and that the current economic realities will be changing for the better at US. Because of this you cannot negotiate in the now.
As to your second comment, that rampers 'value' to the Company is based on supply and demand, I agree with it's theoretical correctness. You forget about one MAJOR difference, however. While we are "unskilled" labor in the sense that no substantial education is required, we are not without relevant skills. It would be exceptionally difficult to replace 3500 (or whatever the count is) rampers with contractors. Can it be done? Yes. NW did it with their mechanics, AS did it with their rampers. Can it be done well? Absolutely not. Looking at the mechanics, they have skilled labor already trained via possessing A&P certificates. Sure there are some Company specific details, but by and large the skills are identical and very easily transferable. At AS many of the ramp functions were taken over by CSRs. Ops and cargo are done by CSRs, not fleet. In addition, many of the former AS rampers, being laid off, hired on with the ramp contractor doing the exact same thing. This means that the new rampers only need to know how to toss bags, push planes, and dump lavs. The CSRs, already employees, handle all the computer systems and are already trained. Here at US these conditions do not exist with fleet. ANY new employee would need to attend either a two week class or , for contractors, differences training. Leads would need to do that and THEN the Lead training. Cargo in the three cities that have it would need to be taught to the replacing (presumed) contractors. In theory, you're absolutely right that there is a n abundance of unskilled labor right now looking for a job. How many of those, however, have the knowledge, skills, training, and experience to do it Day One? Very few, thus the supply of QUALIFIED unskilled labor that would be leaded is minimal.