Yo Metro,
I suspect that, AT A MINIMUM, we will begin receiving the annual 3% pay increase every May (yes, even during the status quo period, as per the contract) when the LOA93 grievance is done. Now, let's take a look at how that works for us.
Starting with the current A320/B737 Captain rate of $125/hr and assumong the 3%/year:
- 2015 = $144.90 (ah, parity in 5 years from now....how have the last five years addressed this issue?)
- 2020 = $168.00
- 2025 = $194.70
- 2030 = $225.76 (that's an 81% pay raise from today's rates not even accounting for the upward movement that starts in 3 years)
Now let's take a look back at the last 20 years:
- 1990 = $150
- 2000 = $161 (breif peak at $227 in 2002)
- 2010 = $125
Yeah, I know......stellar, isn't it!
All in all, not great....but certainly better than we've seen in recent years. And, disregarding any pay bumps that may come from negotioations, I think it's safe to say you won't see 3%/year in anything the company offers.
A meager 3%/year beats anything we've seen over our last 20 year roller coaster ride when all is said and done. Funny, reminds me of a story....'The Tortoise and the Hare'. Slow and steady.....in the end you win! So, let's see now... 3%/year raise, BIG attrition, and no NIC......sign me up for status quo into perpetuity!
As for the 'maybe two dozen' guys willing to move or commute to the East.......we have a few guys back here you can talk to about that. They worked for PSA (remember them). How many pilots do we have based in SFO, LAX and SAN now??? Now tell me, what's going to happen to LAS in 15 days?
In the end, none of us can say for sure what will materialize. This place could be dust in two years or twice it's size and growing in ten years. No one can say. Thats' why it is so rediculous to base one's career on a mere snapshot in time!
"All we really have to fear, is fear itself".