You will probably get your election but it will fail by a slim margin.
You won't get many West pilots to vote for a union whose purpose for existing is DOH seniority integration.
There will be enough East pilots who don't want a union run by the PHL and PIT guys to defeat it.
Why would you think an election would fail by a slim margin and not a large one?
USAPA exists for many reasons.
DOH/LOS with conditions and restrictions is only one. "DOH" happened to be a catalyst but there are many others near and dear to the east pilots hearts.
Why don't you read "U-Turn" to see how the west pilots are getting screwed, with ALPA connivance, especially over the 8+30 issue.
Unfortunately retired now, but one of the most competent pilot managers I've had the pleasure of working with has a very interesting story about an ATA meeting he attended in SEA in the mid 80's. Those who think their management groups are "working real hard" and we should not question their pronouncements or "numbers" really need to hear the story.
Cliff notes version: All of them are not really "working hard" and they lie, a lot.
The fact is, ALPA has lost its way, its relationship with managements has become symbiotic and as a union, it needs competition, badly.
Your last point is interesting because it reveals the depravity of intellect I see in ALPA. It is the judgement of a working draft document simply based on the author, which allows one to not even read what is (so far) written. It means you do not have to make a judgement about a concept, which is the preferred avenue for lessor animals and is, admittedly, many times, hard work.
Just this once, try asking those so afflicted to add their voices to the mix. The more, the merrier. Ask them to focus on the concepts rather than the personalities. Ask them to add rules to regulate less than acceptable decorum, if they think they need that security blanket.
I think it would be difficult to find anyone completely satisfied with ALPA, as it is now. Ask them to make a better product. If they participate, then and only then can they later complain.