Would it surprise you to know that I agree with everything you say, except possibly the last sentence. It remains to be seen whether the current period (that began on 9/11) is merely an aberration, or if it is the new normal. I am not saying you are wrong; rather, it is simply to early to tell.Absolutely Unrealistic.
The wage and benefit increases achieved as a result of the NWA PEB in March of 2001, and UALs in January of 2002(despite 9-11) clearly showed the results of the very market forces you constantly espouse. This was, in large part, the result of an increasing shortage of aircraft mechanics.
Along comes 9-11, and the industry goes into a tail spin. Between bankruptcy and industry wide downsizing, thousands of experienced mechanics hit the streets. As the vast majority of those furloughed were caught completely off guard, they in turn, out of neccessity, take up positions at OSVs at substantialy reduced rates. It was in this glut of mechanics, that NWA was able to fall back on and gain the advantage in the strike. Nothing more.
This conflux of 9-11 and resultant bankruptcy/downsizing is an aberation, and not truely reflective of the aircraft mechanic market.
If you want to wait around for many years and bank your career on it being an aberration, go ahead. Just remember, the more people who try to wait it out rather than getting on with their lives, the less incentive there is for anything to change, and the longer the "aberration" will last.