Yes, it will surely be determined by the opinions of a few idiots on an internet forum.
No.... just Jetz and USA320...... they control the world through their internet manipulations.
But to be fair, to some degree this is a psych game... just not one that we posters are playing directly.
Expectations about the unknown future are playing a role.
I still don't believe that US/US is a 'visionary' choice... it's a 'preservation' choice.
If, rightly or wrongly, folks think that UA is doing poorly that effects the decision. Again, I think that US prospects for survival are less meaningful to the industry, because the effect of US's disappearance or contraction is less meaningful to the market.
For example:
if UA has poor prospects, UA might pursue CO for a merger.
if UA is seen as doing worse, CO walks away.
if UA is thought to be doing even worse, UA pursues US.
if UA is seen as having even poorer prospects, US balks.
if UA is seen as doing even worse, they call CO and concede everything.
But if UA's prospects look up, they move off the US strategy and go back up the chain.
So, data matters, of course MONEY and finances matter, but I suppose the psychology of all the stake holders matters as well.
But in this environment, I wonder how much these folks a focusing on labor issues.