Do you think that maybe the Negotiating committee and the Mediator are reading the same stuff we AMT's are reading?
No I dont.
Everytime I bring up some good news I'm shot down with doom and gloom.
I think the committee will be told to watch and see if the company pays the whole $500 million into the pension or only makes partial payments. They will be told "If they put in the whole $500 million it means they are secure, if not, if they decide to spread it out(why wouldnt they?) then they may be looking for a BK filing."
Then when the company only makes a partial payment we will be told we have to come up with a deal right away, before BK, the June supposal will be back on the table and put before the committee then put before the membership with the inclusion of OSMs on the line, no pension for new hires and regional pay. It will be a four year deal as well.
Last time it was the "White spaces and we have to send a message to the 6th floor" scam. Luckily the company rejected that because they want thier OSMs on the line, the pension for new hires and retiree medical. With no systemwide disruptions (unlike from what I hear about Continental)they figure they can afford to wait. The way they look at it things must be good enough because they are still getting what they want. The workforce appears content, so why give anything?
Last June we had a presentation given by the company that said that we would lose 600 to 800 jobs in Tulsa if we couldnt fill the "white spaces" with 3rd party work in 2012, in August the Company admitted that they expect to lose 300 to 400 mechanics a year through attrition between now and then, in other words, 900 to 1200. We would be losing mechanics faster than we are losing jobs but for some reason we had to show "the 6th floor" that we were serious about saving the company money and saving jobs.
This time it will be "the pension" scam, along with a presentation by the TWU economist highlighting the difficulties the company faces. On the eve of a rebound we will be told that we have to get a deal in place, "we have to put some money in our members pockets", and a year from now just like 1995, "Dont worry, we'll get 'em' next time fellas."
Keep in mind that the reason why the payment to the pension is so big is because we were told to lobby our politicians into allowing AA to defer payments to the pension, last year AA contributed ZERO to the pension.
If you didnt pay your credit card bill for a year and continued to use it would you be justified when you complain how much you had to pay after a year of paying nothing?
If we do not learn from history we are destined to repeat the mistakes in history. Dont become impatient and say "We should have accepted the companys first offer" , or "They got their two year extension". Get ready to fight and show the company that you are ready to go as far as we have to to get what we need. Talk about about how we must fight at work and correct those who preach defeatism. Remember that when people say that we cant or shouldnt fight they are working in the interest of the company and against our interests.
Dont reward the company's bad greeedy behavior by giving them what they want, it will only invite more abuse.