Yeah, it has been very quite on both sides like was said. But I think that the U4C side is targeting a very few stations that they think that would put them over the top. Probably either undecided or very close stations in the last election. Being this is in the Summer, turnout will be very light. But you have to factor in the people that were relocated (from the station reductions), and they are beginning to settle into their new stations or hub. And the people that have been furloughed. Will they vote? Ballots will be available for them, but will many vote this time.
IMHO, I don't know how this will play out. If I were a betting man, 60-40% for the status quo.