Pi brat said:
Is the decision out?
I love how all you guys say how these future events will go so definitively. I wish I was that confident about the future.
I actually see fairness in allowing the west a committee. After all, we know it's three lists, so it's logical that three parties represent them. I even suggested that to Humel. But the problem I see with it is that it's illogical, under MB, for the APA to be able to dictate that, and USAPA doesn't agree. Having one union dictate things is what got us MB! I think USAPA laid out a pretty good case for the legal reason of the west not getting a committee, and the rest for the fairness. We'll see who rules. I won't be placing a bet.
So jazz, since you're on the outside looking in, give me your perspective on this. I read the transcripts. Pauley was talking about the loss of leverage against AA if we use 3 merger committees. I see that for the west, but not the east. If we use three lists, and three merger committees, what does each one bring to the table? The west has no widebodies, one base, and most of it's pilots were hired pre-2005. What will the argue that they bring to the table? That's a big part of the award, right? Then we have the argument that the arbitrators won't like what we did to Nicolau's name. They might be right there, and if it didn't keep them from doing their job they may use it. But, there are some pretty much essential tenants of SLI-no bump, no flush and no reordering of the current lists. With that, the way I see it, if the panel uses the Nic, they will have to essentially give extra credit to the west guys that don't hold the higher positions that the Nic would have given them, and leave the east guys in those positions because they do have them. So essentially, US would be getting almost double the job credit, thus harming the AA guys. I just don't see them doing that to the AA guys.
In some ways I see it being easier for USAPA with three merger committees. They can take and even harder stance. Go in and say "This was our list, this was our fleet at the time of the merger. We have all this attrition on our side, look at our projected attrition, look at our hiring."
Another interesting year ahead.
My perspective is formed from a long line of arbitration decisions that hold that once a merger occurs, the fates of the employees are forever changed from their standalone fates. Therefore, when looking at "snapshot" of where the parties are, the date is almost always very close to the merger date. Therefore, anything that occurred to the East and West after 2005 is a result of a merged company. Despite the wrangling that goes on here, there is no person in the universe that could say what America West or the old US Airways would have looked like today absent the merger. In fact, most speculation is hopelessly tainted by self interest amongst the parties. ("You would have folded", "no you would have folded", etc, etc, etc)
That means you are merging two systems, American and US Airways (East and West). The equities that are brought to the merger from the East and West are combined and will be indistinguishable for the arbitration panel. In the same fashion that you would not prejudice the DCA base because they are narrow body only, you would not prejudice the PHX base for the same reason.
If you look at merging seniority lists, the actual methodology involves a two step process; creating slots based on a certain equity (status and category, longevity, shoe size, etc) and then filling in those slots with pilot names based on their pre merger seniority. For example, when you merge a list via status and category you create slots based on the group's jobs (A330 Capt, 757 Capt, etc) and then you fill in those slots with pilots names in seniority order. Therefore the #1 guy is slotted into a widebody captain job even if that pilot happens to fly A320 and so on.
When merging the lists of American and US Airways (East and West) you will follow the same process. You will merge slots together and then fill in those slots with the names of pilots. Therefore the only dispute really left amongst the East and West, is what names will go in which slots.
There was a whole line of questioning that Freund gave Pauley about breaking down this process. Pauley evaded answering the question as long as he could, but Javits stepped in and forced him to answer. Basically, if you start with the 15,000 names of the merged list and then remove only the American pilots, all you will have left is a list of East and West pilots in some order. Hence the statement that Pauley is now the new George Nicolau to determine which names go in which order and that East/West list.
So how do you determine the order of names on the East/West list? Well, that's the sticking point isn't it. Of course the East pilots want to unilaterally determine that list. Despite the "let's work together" front they put up at the arbitration, the entire world has seen that the East pilots think their numerical superiority allows them to unilaterally determine what that list would be. Every offer of "let's work together" comes with the pre condition that the Nicolau list will be modified or eliminated to the benefit of the East pilots. That is similar to a robber "negotiating" with you to determine how much he is going to steal from you.
My opinion is that in order to determine the East/West list, you have to go back to the conditions that George Nicolau faced back in the original arbitration. The East pilots are going to look the new arbitrators in the face and tell them that their work is not important, because whatever an arbitrator rules is worthless, the majority of pilots can overrule them and do whatever they feel like. I would not want to be making that argument.
In the end, almost everyone sees that if you have this dispute about how to order seniority lists, each side needs a separate say in that process. Or, you need to have a single designated representative that faces the penalty of DFR if they don't treat all pilots fairly. Right now, USAPA does not have a DFR to anyone anywhere. Therefore, either the APA alone will determine the East/West list or you will need two separate parties to figure that out. After participating in three seniority arbitrations very closely I am hesitant to read minds, but I can't see how you can be fair to the West pilots without giving them their own committee. I believe that point was made overwhelmingly at the just completed arbitration and that USAPA's arguments were based on misstating the law and what had occurred previously.