Such harsh words, eastpus. “mob, cry baby, found guilty, zero integrity, found guilty.†I guess your passing on the Labor Day Unity Picnic? Good to hear you had integrity. Honoring the transition agreement is what this all boils down to, something ALPA didnt do. Does a new union have to honor the decisions of the old union? The 9th will decide. Or maybe they wont. Worse scenario for both sides is that the 9th rules the case wasn’t ripe and throws it out. Then what? USAPA “tests†the waters with a No-Nic contract? Hmmm. If that happens, does AOL try to raise another $2M and sue again? (1mil to pay for the new case, the other 1mil to pay their attorneys form that first case) This could be weird. What do you think, hp_fa?
Sorry for the delay in responding Mega. The first time I sped over this I missed the question.
I agree that what you propose would be a worst case scenario. However I don't think it will happen. ** If ** the 9th Circuit were to agree that the issue was not ripe I still do not think that they would remand this case, but rather write some dicta for future cases and yet not delay this case any further. In my opinion, the real best case for USAPA is that it wins on some still unknown issue (since the brief has not been finalized and submitted) and that is a significant enough issue for the 9th Circuit to reverse and remand back to the trial court. (They won't take Judge Wake off the case.) The problem with that, from USAPA's perspective, is that it still has to face a jury and any significant deviation by a witness from previous testimony would potentially be perjury. Also, unless he quits and moves out of the country, Mr. Bradford will be formally invited to any retrial. That would be ugly.
35%? That still leaves 15% short majority. Their less than 14 delinquents in PHL and not many more non-members. The list reads like a whos-who in ALPA-FPLosers. There arent enough East objectors even with all the west pilots to get 50%. Even in their best days, west only had 82% alpa MIGS (that came from 2005 DOL report, so not made up).
Yes, but in a psychological warfare aspect it would start and continue a trend where USAPA is steadily losing the strength of it's majority. The more that happens the more the strident forces will dig in and continue to alienate the more moderate of the union members who only want the best contract they can get and go to work.
You didn't ask what I think is the smartest thing USAPA could do, but I will share that with you anyway.
The smartest thing USAPA could do is to accept Nicolau and end the in-fighting. Stop wasting time and resources and go after the real target, the company. All the pontificating about waiting for an appellate decision is wasting both time and money. Saying that USAPA is fighting on principles is $$$ to the company's ears and. at the same time, probably causing members to question their USAPA leadership.
The second smartest thing USAPA could do is fire SSM&P. (I know, that is a second opinion/freebie.) SSM&P really hasn't seemed to be giving good advice. By USAPA continuing to solict and follow that advice doesn't speak well of the USAPA leadership, does it?
OK, I am done giving out freebies now....
Major rules the real scenario until the 9th speaks. Then, based on their rulings, no telling how this will continue to play out. Germane, non-Germane is the next battle. DH, LS, DB, CM and their ALPA hanger-ons are already working that angle. Looks like we get to spend more germane mx fee money to find out if Addington/RICO are germane. While that debate goes on, most will pay up in full or face being 29 fired. If they dont pay in full, at best theyll remain objectors with no vote.
The problem with the germane/non-germane issue is that it doesn't give people the sense that USAPA is honorable or fair since they are seemingly stretching the boundaries of what non-members are being assessed as fees that supposedly are directly attributable to the services those non-members receive from USAPA. Neither the Addington nor RICO case have any bearing on services rendered to non-members and trying to collect those monies from those folks does not enhance USAPA's credibility.