767jetz
Veteran
- Aug 20, 2002
- 3,286
- 2,779
OK, Here's another thought and hypothetical.....
What if you returned to the negotiating table, and by some MIRACLE, you came up with a contract which included an acceptable compromise to NIC and DOH? A contract which in addition to addressing that issue to the satisfaction of a MAJORITY of pilots, provided you with improved work rules and significant raises??
Could you not pass that and avoid a DFR suit? Are both sides SO stuck on their line in the sand that 5 years later, after all the chest thumping and rhetoric from both sides, NO ONE can realize it's in EVERYONE's best interest to settle this by compromise?
Art,
I think this idea has been floated before, and would work if (and that's a big IF) both sides wanted to. Several things would be required though. The first of which would be another new union with a fresh start and different constitution and bylaws. Just like there was acrimony between the east and ALPA, so it is with USAPA and the west.
There is one other issue that could be insurmountable. There is a large disparity between the work rules and pay of the east and west. (ie: the west contract is not currently all that bad.) That means any raise significant enough to convince the west to move away from Nicolau to the degree required to get the east onboard, would probably be cost prohibitive for the company. That's where USAPA is in trouble even with the 9th ruling. For them to negotiate a contract with anything resembling DOH, AND not disadvantage the west as they fear, is probably not attainable.
The west has good reason to believe that the law is in their favor, and will let this play out in court. They still have many cards to play before it's over. The first is the company law suit, which may be the end game for all this. If that is not successful, then they wait for USAPA to get a contract out for a vote to see if there is enough money there to make them walk away from Nic. (Not likely) If it passes anyway they get an injunction and another DFR suit which they could very well win. Unfortunately everyone is on a very narrow path with little room left to change course.
Ironically, there was a way out of this mess, but the ongoing war pretty much prevented it. That would have been a merger. The reason is because mergers are all about money. It is the one thing that could have provided the funds necessary to buy peace. As an example, DL&NW predicted their merger would provide $1.8 Billion in ANNUAL synergies. ALPA target half of that, about $900 Million in annual contract improvements and equity. They were successful. Since then DL increased their estimate to over $2 Billion. That's alot of scratch. Similarly, UA&CO are conservatively estimating $2 Billion in annual synergies. ALPA is once again targeting half of that, knowing that after consummation of the merge UA's estimate will also climb.
Perhaps one day AA will get their house in order and decide to look for a merger partner. But IMO that is too far into the future to have any effect on the current mess at USAirways.