What people fail to realize its not just about AA or US Airways. 3 large hub and spoke carriers have much less competition than the 5 currently operating. With a merger of US/AA there will be 3 large carriers and with less competition will be able to raise fares. The industry is far too fragmented with everyone competing for the same seats. In case nobody has noticed that is the whole reason for the DL/NW and UA/CO hookup too lessen competition and strengthen the networks.
that is all true... but there is no assurance that US might be the one that is deemed no longer necessary... and that is exactly what Parker is fighting won't happen. Remember, all of this bravada about going after AA is just US' way of making clear that they don't have the network to be able to survive longterm in a consolidated industry.
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I can also assure you that the rest of the airlines DO NOT want Doug Parker running one of the remaining megacarriers and given that they have bigger pockets and could find an interest in some of AA's assets, those other carriers will do what they have to do to protect their interests long term.
US can figure out the best way possible to protect its own.
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There will be no massive seat sale... capacity will come out of AA's system rather quickly.. analysts expected them to do that months ago but AA could not because they couldn't get the costs out.. in BK the costs CAN come out and capacity will come out as well in order to improve AA's revenue performance.
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The mere fact that US had a massive seat sale going into BK is probably a clue that is NOT the way to do it... and it was largely driven by the fact that US did not have cash to fund its BK while AA does.
NK has already launched off the assault on AA's franchise with 4 new routes from DFW... two of them were former FL routes which has to close DFW but 2 are new routes... granted, NK is not going to pull away AA's key business passengers but they do show the freedom with which competitors use another carrier's BK in order to grow their own franchise.
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Bob,
I can only shake my head that you act so outraged when the whole BK process has been repeated so many times that the only question is how much worse it can get for AA employees... you can't realistically think that you will fare better than the employees of formerly BK companies did
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AA will shove deep cuts down the throats of its employees and dismantle as much of its operation as it deems necessary to make the company viable in its eyes long term.
And don't underestimate their desire to ensure that they create a company that even though still unionized does not have the problem areas that have allowed labor-mgmt conflict in the past.
BK is a brutal, brutal process but it is designed first and foremost to give the company the opportunity to restructure on its own and it gives the company enormously powerful tools to do that.
The chances that AA/AMR WON'T achieve what it needs is slim to none - but a whole lot of other entities including labor and a lot of airplane lessors will pay a high price to make it work.