Iran

[Garfield1966]

As the older folks become few and fewer, the younger people are moving up. They tend to be more socially liberal. Where I work I see quite a dew Muslim women wearing the hear scarves. At least half of them have on tight jeans and tight tops with a little make up on. Not what the old school would approve of but it is what the younger crowd are moving too. The old school clerics will fall, just a matter of time IMO.

 

[nuclearfission]

As the older folks become few and fewer, the younger people are moving up. They tend to be more socially liberal. Where I work I see quite a dew Muslim women wearing the hear scarves. At least half of them have on tight jeans and tight tops with a little make up on. Not what the old school would approve of but it is what the younger crowd are moving too. The old school clerics will fall, just a matter of time IMO.

More socially Liberal??

How about a good-ole fashioned taste of FREEDOM and LIBERTY Seems I've heard those words somewhere before.

 

[nq6v]

Several years ago, I met a diesel mechanic at a Petrol Truck Stop who was a soldier in Iraq. He said kids are playing soccer with US soldiers giving them supplies instead of attending religious service. A choice was givin the kids: team sports vs harsh religious practices. Also, wherever you turn in Bagdad and many of the cities in Iraq, you see westernazation of culture. Movie theaters, McDonalds, Jack in the Box, Marshalls, etc. And micro loans to persons wanting to start their own little businesses, and women attending universities, and wearing western styles, and drinking Starbucks,and they go home at night to play Monopoloy, and Parchizi, and Spades instead of behaving in a proper manner for the neiborhood snitch's benifit.
According to that soldier, the old Iraq is dead, things will never go back to where they were. I do not fully agree with that; the possiblity is always there for the old regiem to assert itself. If a generation passes, then I would agree. Not now. It is too soon.

 

[EastUS]

As the older folks become few and fewer, the younger people are moving up. They tend to be more socially liberal. .... The old school clerics will fall, just a matter of time IMO.

Assuming that youth's some magical cure-all for tyranny is about as naieve as it can possibly get. "the younger people" have always historically been,. and will forever be just pretty much blank slates, who's collective thought and will is almost entirely based on the surroundings and what's presented to them. I call to your attention "little" examples from history like that of the Hitler Youth. It's worth further noting that the initial Iranian revolution, which placed these loving "imams" into power was supposedly led by "students", and the street-level operatives involved were "the younger people". The camp guards at Auschwitz were also among "the younger people". The most zealous mass of supporters for Mao/Stalin/Hitler/etc were likewise....

If youth had EVER afforded us ANY sort of sociological "cure"...this world would have been "fixed" very, very long ago indeed.

What actually provides hope for eventual change in Iran has to do with the degree of overall displeasure towards the current regime, coupled with the influences of external cultural and economic effects.