Bob, the IAM isn't doing too great financially now either, they have approximately 350,000 members not too long ago it was north of 700,000. Buffy and Roach haven't felt the sting the IAM workers have in all their sell out agreements to protect jobs (dues payers) for the concessions master. Bob, do you see the IAM as viable alternative to the TWU if the USAIR merger becomes a reality? IAM contracts for mechanics are substandard and lagging the industry by a wide margin, just look at USAIR. Do you think given the fact that the IAM has no experience bargaining with AA management and their abandoning of the TWA workers will hinder their success in an election?
Josh
I already stated that with the mechanic group the TWU (which is at the very bottom by a considerable margin when you factor in benefits, workrules and PTO) would likely be at a disadvantage in a one on one runoff election with the IAM, which may be why the IBT is making such a push to get in. There are a lot of Ex-IAM workers at AA as a result of EAL and TWA who tend to speak highly of the militant culture that the IAM they belonged to had, we also have a considerable number of ex Pan Am, who have less seniority than the EAL guys due to the fact that the concessions the TWU kept giving kept the company alive a little longer, enough to lower their lifetime earnings, give upper management more time to raid the pensions, and have them start over after the EAL guys, so they don't speak highly of the TWU either. As it stands today mechanics at USAIR get more Vacation, more sick time, more Holidays and more IOD time than their peers at AA. For mechanics the TWU and IAM are the two poorest performers as AA and US are the two lowest payers in the industry by a wide margin, even lower than non-union. Basically both Unions have provided employers mechanics labor at below market rates. You also have to take into account that the deal in place was rejected by the majority of those who remain at AA, they got it to pass by getting guys who were leaving to vote yes and by terrorizing Tulsa. Do you think workers who voted out of fear are going to have a lot of loyalty for a union that made them fearful? So as much as you hate the IAM IMO the ex-IAM population at AA would probably vote IAM as would many others simply based upon the better PTO and work rules at US. Its also possible that there would be a considerable showing of interest to not have any union if the choice was between two unions that could only deliver deals that were inferior to what Non-union mechanics are getting..
The TWU has been able to prevent elections in the past by making sure that the card count comes up short, Bobby Gless testified in 2004(?) that if there was an election between AMFA and the TWU that the TWU would lose, however in a merger the other union does not have to prove that the members want an election in order to get one, so I believe that the TWU and IBT are just as concerned about a TWU-IAM election as a TWU-AMFA election. In the event of a merger driven election we may see a different approach to how the TWU and AA define Class and Craft for M&R than we have in the past.
As you noted the IAM has already seen their membership halved, I doubt they will walk away without a fight at USAIR. However if the TWU/IBT has a pending election they may cut a deal with the IAM where the TWU walks away with Fleet and the IAM walks away with M&R which may be at risk to AMFA anyway. For the TWU it would be a good deal, picking up Fleet and others from USAIR and if they merge with the IBT and CWA the IBT would then represent everyone except the pilots an mechanics at USAIR.
The IAM was at one time the dominant union in the airline industry. They are the only union that ever shut it down. Its a shame to see what happened to them. The IBT seems to be the new dominant union but we can not say that they got that way by fighting for their members like the IAM once did. Has the IBT ever taken an Airline worker out on strike?