Well we've been around long enough to know what makes sense to us usually does not make sense to the company. Also AA offered six month PLOA from May to Nov while recalling in Jun,Jul and Oct. so go figure. I do agree we wont see recalls for a long time.
I'll bet March. No, I don't have any inside information, don't know anybody that knows Arpey, just a hunch. For AA to hire they need all of the furloughed back. If they can hire they can lower the payroll. It makes sense to offer leaves to the more senior and let the newhires fly.