deltawatch
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- Aug 20, 2002
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Who Are NWA's Replacement Mechanics? US Airways Scabs?
Northwest Airlines says replacement workers are ready to fill in and do the job if mechanics go on strike 15 days from now. But who are they?
Mechanics took a big step toward walking off their jobs by walking out of negotiations with the airline in Washington, D.C. Wednesday. A top union leader says a strike may be unavoidable.
On both sides, it's down to what could be compared to a very high-stakes card game. Both sides are gambling everything on their radically different views on how an estimated 1,000 replacement mechanics would perform in the event of a strike.
Northwest is betting their replacement mechanics would keep the airline running smoothly. The union is betting the replacements will be so bad, the airline would be all but grounded.
Airline analyst Terry Trippler predicts reality would exist somewhere in between.
"I think it will go off much better than the union expects it to, and a little bit worse than Northwest expects it to," Trippler said.
Trippler predicts the delays would be the worst in the first days of the strike.
Northwest President Doug Steenland said last week, "There's been no difficulty in attracting (replacements)." The reason: the thousands of airline industry layoffs since the terror attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.
"U.S. Airways, United, American, Delta and even Northwest have laid off so many mechanics in the past two years that these people are now out there," Trippler said.
The mechanics' union says the replacements' experience has been on small airplanes in small airports and closed hangars, not in situations such as at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport where, in a given hour, more than 100 flights have to be mechanically ready to take off.
Northwest Airlines disagrees, saying over 60 percent of the replacements have over 10 years of experience at large airlines and over 85 percent have at least five years of experience.
The airline is so confident, it is not asking President Bush to intervene and block a strike.
If there is a winner in this labor mess, it would likely be determined in the first days of a strike.
If the airline is flying with few interruptions, Northwest's bet on replacement workers may deal a crushing blow to the mechanics' union. If the airline is in chaos, it would be the union that made the right prediction.
Northwest Airlines says replacement workers are ready to fill in and do the job if mechanics go on strike 15 days from now. But who are they?
Mechanics took a big step toward walking off their jobs by walking out of negotiations with the airline in Washington, D.C. Wednesday. A top union leader says a strike may be unavoidable.
On both sides, it's down to what could be compared to a very high-stakes card game. Both sides are gambling everything on their radically different views on how an estimated 1,000 replacement mechanics would perform in the event of a strike.
Northwest is betting their replacement mechanics would keep the airline running smoothly. The union is betting the replacements will be so bad, the airline would be all but grounded.
Airline analyst Terry Trippler predicts reality would exist somewhere in between.
"I think it will go off much better than the union expects it to, and a little bit worse than Northwest expects it to," Trippler said.
Trippler predicts the delays would be the worst in the first days of the strike.
Northwest President Doug Steenland said last week, "There's been no difficulty in attracting (replacements)." The reason: the thousands of airline industry layoffs since the terror attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.
"U.S. Airways, United, American, Delta and even Northwest have laid off so many mechanics in the past two years that these people are now out there," Trippler said.
The mechanics' union says the replacements' experience has been on small airplanes in small airports and closed hangars, not in situations such as at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport where, in a given hour, more than 100 flights have to be mechanically ready to take off.
Northwest Airlines disagrees, saying over 60 percent of the replacements have over 10 years of experience at large airlines and over 85 percent have at least five years of experience.
The airline is so confident, it is not asking President Bush to intervene and block a strike.
If there is a winner in this labor mess, it would likely be determined in the first days of a strike.
If the airline is flying with few interruptions, Northwest's bet on replacement workers may deal a crushing blow to the mechanics' union. If the airline is in chaos, it would be the union that made the right prediction.