chris perry
Veteran
- Sep 17, 2008
- 544
- 118
text,
AA is not proposing wage cuts other than perhaps as revisions to freeze rather than terminate the pensions.
Labor is supporting a potential takeover in an attempt to avoid the huge number of cuts... it is highly doubtful they will be as supportive if AA continues w/ the layoffs - which is likely because the 1113 process and exclusivity are still moving forward.
Informer,
labor could indeed decide to take the EA path - but I'm not sure even labor believed what was coming... UA's pilots didn't years later. AA's labor groups are out to get the best deal- right now they think that comes by supporting a merger - but if they knew what cuts had to be made to make AA/US work, they wouldn't back that plan either. Problem is that Parker doesn't have to be truthful about his plans - and labor will fall for whatever plan they think will work, esp. if it means minimizing the impact of the cuts - which in this case means the loss of about 11K dues paying members. No one should take their eyes off of labor's goal.
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Actually, according to AMR's 1113 documents, they are proposing a CASM almost identical to DL - and about 1 cent better than UA. Given that AA and UA have traditionally played ping pong - one is doing well, one is struggling, and then switch roles- that is enough for AA to survive. And keep in mind that UA's costs will rise even further as it seeks labor peace as part of merger integration - or it will play the same game Parker is now playing and play one group against the other.
Either way, if AA gets costs on par with DL - who has a pretty good track record of staying at the lower end of the network carrier CASM - AA will be able to compete since DL won't be doing any better and UA will be above.
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It would seem likely that the pilot pension funds will be terminated based on the same lump sum provisions that existed in the DL pilot pension plan. The PBGC and the pilots group gained about $2B worth of claims in equity against the reorganized DL. It wouldn't be surprising if a similar amount occurs ofr AA's pilots. If AMR retains the rest of its pensions, as DL did, they will probably need $500M or more in additional funding in order to come up w/ a plan. So far, it isn't clear where that money will come from. Taking on more debt is not likely going to be the answer since AMR has already said its aircraft replacement plan will generate expenditures far larger than its other network carrier peers.
No pay-cuts is smoke and mirror's. Healthcare doubles and out of pocket costs are 3500.00 a year,before you even get a benefit. Sounds like a wage raping to me.