Funguy2:
Funguy2 said: “Even if UAL and US Airways management teams WANT to merge their companies (a big IF in my book), neither of them has any cash, the industry is still losing billions of dollars a year, and oil prices are near record levels again. In this environment, both carriers will be lucky to survive at all, let alone pull of a very complicated merger. Good God people, its like we have all forgotten that we are talking about one airline which has been in Chapter 11 for almost 3 years, and the other which has filed twice in the same time frame.â€
USA320Pilot comments: Let’s look at the facts:
-- US & US have tried to merge 2 times.
-- US chairman David Bronner has said in four public interviews that he is interested in buying UA assets if it makes sense for US.
-- US & UA have a domestic code share relationship, both companies are in the Star alliance, and both companies have an important business relationship with Air Wisconsin.
-- Dave Siegel told me about both the UCT and then the ICT and Ben Baldanza told a colleague of mine about US’ interest in being the surviving business entity and the United name surviving, a la Valujet and AirTran.
-- During the past three weeks three separate airline observers have indicated in news media reports the parties would make a good fit or “industry insiders†are talking about another corporate transaction with the buzz for people “to watch for US Airways and United Airlines to resurrect an attempt at a merger.â€
-- Glenn Tilton recently said the best option for UA is to merge.
-- Bruce Lakefield told me a couple of weeks ago that both companies are currently "in play".
In summary, the parties continue to discuss a corporate combination and there is money available for a deal. The only thing your right about is that “neither of them has any cash, the industry is still losing billions of dollars a year, and oil prices are near record levels again.â€
However, that is why there would be a deal so the companies can create synergies to lower unit costs by creating greater economies of scale. Furthermore, outside capital is available for a deal through private equity, a hedge fund, venture capitalist, or a fund like RSA or the Retirement Fund of New York. Finally, J.P. Morgan is working on the deal, if it occurs, and it's my uderstanding that the only way for UA can continue operations in some form is through a corporate transaction.
Regards,
USA320Pilot