RowUnderDCA
Veteran
- Oct 6, 2002
- 2,123
- 1
hmmm... so Bulscu only posts about the possibility of a UA/Co merger on the UA bb?
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How bout continent AL+TED? Then all we would need is Bob and Carrol.(From the movie Bob and Carol and Ted and Alice)Just saw that if they merged the two airlines that they would keep part of each airlines name..............The new one would be called Continental "Airlines"
Both the AFA (United) and IAM (Continental) are AFL-CIO affiliates. It is my understanding that the AFL-CIO standard is date of hire regardless of the circumstances surrounding the combination of the companies
I don't believe the Date of Hire is an AFL-CIO thing.
Will Washington approve a merger between the major airlines? That is the important question...(How long before news media will start yakking about the higher fares?!)
Now, AAI, ALK, JBLU would be a good addition to some domestic and foreign airlines?!
I think everyone needs to take a good look at the AWA/US merger. This merger was easily pushed through NOT because US Airways was about to fold, but because of what US Airways gave back....60 aircraft. Folks, we can all talk about dream mergers all we want, but the industry is STILL overcapacitated regardless of high loads out there. The new US Airways is now pretty much right sized. I can NOT see the govt merging in UAL and CAL as it is now.
Someone mention after UAL goes thru Ch 11 again. I'm afraid that would be the only way a merger of such would go through as then companies like GE would have much more say on ac returned. All of that is speculative at this point as the business plan at UAL might be such that the current capacity is needed.
A done deal? There have been two announcements that caught me off card. 1.The UAL/US merger annoucement and 2. The AWA/US merger announcement
BELIEVE ME me, if there IS any merger, it will come when you least expect it and with probably with someone unexpected.
As far as senority. This isn't the CAL OF THE '80's. They are a force to be reckoned with, well managed, and alot more careful about stupid decisions.
I feel United CAN stand alone. With their extensive route network, I can't imagine any other legacy showing CONSISTANT profits if they can't.
My prediction of a merger IF there is one? Don't laugh...AirTran. Why? Still small enough to tranform to a fleet of all 737 or 320's, a less senior work force, low cost in place and most importantly...a network in the SE that UAL lacks. Then again, if your cost structure is truly where it should be, expand alone.
If UAL remains strong, I think they will go at it alone. If Ch 22 is needed, yeah, it will happen, but I will be willing to bet minus an additional 100-150 ac.
As far as American? I think it is no secret that the AA/TWA merger was reactionary in response to the US/UAL proposed merger. I'll be willing to bet AA will NOT make the same mistake twice...oops, I forgot AirCal.
Of course Washington will approve a merger of UA/CO. Sure, there'd probably be a few carve-outs to appease the other airlines that are sure to complain. Keep in mind that the DOJ DID NOT scuttle UA's bid to merge with US Airways. UA pulled the plug on the deal. But since openly doing so would have subjected them to a sizeable fee paid to US Airways, they instead had their sizeable lobbying power let the DOJ know that they no longer wanted the deal. So DOJ helped them save face. The planets are aligned for consolidation in the industry, even though it will be plenty painful for the employees of each company involved.
I'll be willing to bet AA will NOT make the same mistake twice...oops, I forgot AirCal.
Just saw that if they merged the two airlines that they would keep part of each airlines name..............The new one would be called Continental "Airlines"