Ok, here's the math of upping the cap on hours worked to 90 or 95 and flying the extra ASM's with current pilots vs keeping the 85 hour cap and using recalled pilots to fly the extra ASM's....
1st qtr mainline ASM's: 12,988,000,000
1st qtr mainline CASM: 11.68 cents (round to 11.7 cents)
Total cost (12,988 million X 11.7 cents): $1,519,596,000
Assumption: 15% increase in a/c utilization = 15% more ASM's.
12,988,000,000 X 15% = 1,948,200,000 new ASM's
Incremental cost per new ASM = 5.8 cents (includes full pilot cost and a/c acquisition cost).
Cost of flying new ASM's with recalled pilots: $112,995,600
Cost of flying all ASM's with recalled pilots: Total cost / total ASM's or
($1,519,596,000 + $112,995,600) / (12,988,000,000 + 1,948,200,000) or
10.93 cents
Now assume that the flying is done by current pilots. Assume that the incremental cost goes down 0.4 cents - the cost of benefits per ASM since the hourly pay is the same no matter who flys the extra time.
New ASM's total cost (1,948,200,0000 X 5.4 cents): $105,202,800
Cost of all ASM's ($1,519,596,000 + $105,202,800): $1,624,988,000
New mainline CASM for all ASM's: 10.87 cents.
Admittedly, I may have punched the wrong button on the ole calculator somewhere, so it anyone wants to redo the math have at it. And admittedly I used the 1st quarter numbers - any concessions that affect CASM or incremental cost will change the numbers some. And, again, I left the a/c acquisition cost in the incremental cost number to provide a cushion for extra costs in other workgroups.
Jim