767jetz:
I elected to stop posting on the Internet in a number of forums to spend more time with my family, especially with the success our two kid’s are having in their endeavors. A few of my colleagues told me about your posts and I have elected to respond. I’m not going to waste my time going back-and-forth with you, except to say you’re way off base. In virtually every post I made about your company I always qualified my report with comments like, “Will this occur? Maybe, maybe not.†How come you left that out? None of my reports on potential corporate transactions said they would occur or were an absolute, but I simply indicated there were detailed in-depth discussions occurring within the CCY/WHQ executive suites between the parties.
I find it interesting that you shrugged off three interviews with US Airways’ former chairman of the board David Bronner indicating he was interested in buying United assets for US Airways. Or you selectively dismissed two separate news media reports that US Airways was discussing buying United assets in what the companies called “Project Minnowâ€.
Finally, as I indicated over-and-over, United was very close to liquidating during its formal reorganization, which Glenn Tilton recently revealed in an interview with the AP’s Dave Carpenter. Are you going to dismiss this too?
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As I said before, according to former CEODave Siegel, who told US Airways First Officer Tim Caroe and myself on our jumpseat, if the Iraqi War or SARS had lasted longer Bronner was prepared to buy United assets for US Airways. If you remember, I termed this the UCT and the news media later reported the potential deal between the two companies was called “Project Minnow.â€
Here’s the real issue: The issue is not whether or not I was wrong (which I was not) the issue is that my “inside information†obtained from sources
outside of US Airways was too painful for you to handle. Instead of accepting the report as a potential outcome, you attempted to discount the information, even though US Airways’ chairman of the board said he was interested in the deal. That was not USA320Pilot’s comments, it was US Airways’ chairman of the board. Did you miss that key point?
Your denial is evident, just like your denial with United’s energy cost problem on basing its POR on crude oil prices of $50 per barrel. It’s my understanding that each $1 increase of the cost of crude oil increases United’s fuel expense by $60 million per year, thus United clearly has a problem to the tune of more than $700 million per year with current jet fuel prices.
When you couple this problem with $3 billion in new debt and the requirement to pay off $1.25 billion in DIP financing and pay the pilots $550 million for the ALPA pension change. That’s $1.8 million of the new loan accounted for already and not available to the corporate treasury. Moreover, with the new debt comes very high interest payments, a total debt service of $17 billion, the carrier now mortgaged to the hilt with the new loan is secured with just about every asset that United owns, the balance sheet remains weak.
Thus, what can be done.
I have no reason to presently believe that a United corporate transaction is on the immediate horizon, but Tilton is a proponent of consolidation. With United indicating it has no capacity to grow and its five-year business plan predicting a stagnant company between now and 2010, United still has a very long way to go to have a sustainable business plan, therefore, you could still have a corporate transaction in your future.
Best regards,
USA320Pilot