oldiebutgoody said:
Exactly!
That's why they really can't expect to prevail in court. Any trip to court will only be to liquidate, IMO. I think UAIR is far from having to do that!
I disagree... UAIR does not have piles of money around...
Furthermore, once they run out of money, and fail to pay bills, the creditors can force BK... So in effect, the ATSB can force BK when/if UAIR defaults on the loan.
I would agree with your statement that UAIR is only going to BK to liquidate, though. They will initially go CH 11, but I don't think there is much that CH 7 can do for UAIR... Furthermore, I think UAIR is such a mess, that I cannot think of anyone willing to finance UAIR out ok BK... The only one I can think of is TPG, and they would need to have one hell of a plan to think they can do it. I mean, RSA and current management (and the Seigel era) did everything they could do to harvest the low-hanging cost-reductions. That means the next cost-reductions will be even harder to harvest... Like the Concessions Round 3 (and probably 4), fleet/route simplification, Express simplification, etc. To the extent that Lakefield and Co can get things implemented now, the chances of going through CH 11 improve, but really, the PIT hub should be closed by now... They've been working on it for two years already... Make a decision, implement, move on... The "Transformation Plan" should have started the day after the UAL merger died, or the day BK 1 was the set course of action, not when BK 2 was unavoidable.