If you use a conservative estimate of our East count to sign cards at 3000 and a west count of 1893 then the total count is 4893. This will require 2447 to call an election but it will only take 1894 to outvote the west in the election. Once an election is called it takes only a majority of the majority to win.
Might want to read the Transition Agreement a little closer. Although both ALPA, the individual AAA and AWA "shops" will be separate until AFTER several conditions are met (see below). Until then, AAA pilots can only decertify / replace ALPA on the East side, and AWA pilots can only do so on the West side.
Also, according to the NMB Representation Manual, furloughed employees CANNOT vote unless certain conditions are met
http://www.nmb.gov/representation/representation-manual.gov
I. Continued Representation of the America West and US Airways Pilots
A. The Airline Parties and the Single Carrier, as defined in Section III. A. below, will continue to recognize the Association as the collective bargaining representative
of the America West and US Airways pilots under the Act following the consummation of the Merger Agreement.
B. The Parties will continue to recognize each of the America West and US Airways MECs as to their authority and responsibility with respect to their respective collective bargaining agreements until the merger of the two MECs.
II. Period of Separate Operations
A. The pilot workforces of America West and US Airways will
remain separate and covered by their respective collective bargaining agreements (the “Separate Operationsâ€)
until Operational Pilot Integration as provided in Section VI. A.
III. Single Carrier
A. No later than the Operational Pilot Integration, as defined in Section VI.A. below, America West and US Airways will operate as a single carrier with a single FAA air carrier operating certificate employing pilots of America West and US Airways (the “Single Carrierâ€). The carrier holding such operating certificate will be one corporation.
B. The Airline Parties will support the Association’s application to the National Mediation Board for recognition of a single transportation system and single pilot craft or class of the Single Carrier.
C. The combining of the America West and US Airways MECs will be governed by the Association’s Constitution and By-Laws and its Merger and Fragmentation Policy (“ALPA Merger Policyâ€).
VI. Operational Pilot Integration
A. Except as provided in paragraph B. below, the airline operations of America West and US Airways, with respect to pilots,
shall be merged no later than twelve (12)
months following the later of (i) completion of the integrated pilot seniority list and (ii) negotiation of the Single Agreement provided that if by that date a single
FAA operating certificate has not been issued, the airline operations, with respect to pilots, will be merged effective with the first bid period following thirty (30)
days after the issuance of such certificate. The Airline Parties will make every reasonable effort in good faith to secure a single FAA operating certificate for America West and US Airways as promptly as practicable. The merger of the airline operations, with respect to pilots, under this paragraph A. is defined as the “Operational Pilot Integration.â€
B. The Airline Parties then in existence and the America West and US Airways MECs may jointly agree to implement one or more selected provisions of the Single Agreement prior to Operational Pilot Integration as defined in paragraph
A. and apply such provision or provisions to America West, US Airways, or the Single Carrier as the Airline Parties collectively and both MECs may agree.
From the NMB Representation Manual:
9.2. Eligibility.
All individuals working regularly in the craft or class on and after the cut-off date are eligible to vote in an NMB representation election. Employees may not vote in more than one election at the same time
9.204 Furloughed Employees
Furloughed employees are eligible to vote in the craft or class in which they last worked
if they retain an employee-employer relationship and have a reasonable expectation of returning to work. Furloughed employees
regularly working in another craft or class are ineligible to vote in the craft or class from which the employees are furloughed.