Kev, you're a smart guy you know it's easy to prove anything with numbers and statistics, you just tailor which assumptions and statistics are needed to support the desired conclusion. It's like in M&A transactions how its easy (and advantageous) for advisors to overstate the synergies and understate the integration costs. When a particular contract or workgroup serves DLs agenda it's included, if not its deemed incomparable.
Josh
Yes, Kev is a smart guy.
Data can indeed be used to show one side of an argument to the exclusion of other POVs. But that is precisely why I have challenged people here over and over and over to look at the data and cite other data sources or present whatever sources they want to ensure that there is no bias.
If the numbers are publicly available, then it behooves ALL parties to study it, understand what is saying, and craft their own arguments based on that data.
It is precisely because the data being used - either by me or by Delta - is public that whatever bias that might be present should be quickly identified by the other side and brought to the front.
Kev has identified that he is capable of looking at data and crafting his own arguments intelligently and not allow anyone to pull the wool over his eyes.
but when multiple statistics all say the same thing and none support the position which you support, then you have no choice to accept that either there is abundant reason to believe that your position is not correct or else you must turn the discussion subjective and ignore all data.
Problem is that payroll data is not subjective. DL people know EXACTLY what the ECONOMIC benefits of their decisions regarding unionization or not are... and they aren't going to make a decision that harms them economically, no matter how many other subjective considerations might be at play.
I hope anyone here who is interested in knowing what drives compensation in the airline industry looks at the data available in the MIT airline data project - which is sourced from DOT data provided by the airlines.
The most recent data is for 2011 and is here
http://web.mit.edu/a...ww/default.html
Note that the numbers are for DOT functional groupings and not specific job titles so some groupings include job titles which are considered separate in other compensation comparisons.. but it is one of the best sources of public data available.
Note also that the biggest reason why WN employees are highly compensated is because they are far more productive than other airline employees, measured in both ASMs per employee but also revenue produced per employee. The legacy/network airlines have built hub and spoke systems which are efficient at connecting large parts of the world but are not near as efficient at maximizing total revenue thru the system.
Part of the reason why the network airlines are trying to carefully manage connecting traffic thru their hubs if there is any chance of taking higher value local traffic is because connecting traffic often does not deliver the same revenue value - and costs increase since connecting passengers have to be "touched" twice as many times by employees.
People hear me harp about NYC and why it is so important for DL - but it is precisely because the local travel component is so large that DL is counting on increasing the amount of local passengers - which are generally higher yielding in NYC because of the limited airport space - by increasing the total size of DL's operation; hub dynamics have long validated that the largest carrier in a market gets a disproportionate share of the higher yielding local revenue. DL is also playing on LGA and JFK's preferred airport status in the NYC area for short and long haul traffic, respectively, to help move share better than it could do with a hub at any other airport. Indications are that DL is doing very well w/ its NYC growth plan, which added more capacity to one city than any other airline has added to any other city in its network in a very long time. It was critically important that DL obtain the financial benefits of its ramp out quickly and the financials which will be released this weekend appear poised to do that, given that analysts are already estimating that DL will beat its peers in system revenue performance.
Specific to total system costs, it should be apparent by now that outsourcing is a part of the way airlines operate in the US, as much as any of us would like to return to previous days in the industry. Airlines operated flight kitchens and res systems for travel agents at one time, but those functions have been sold or outsourced. Some airlines such as WN and B6 never included some of these functions in their business model and thus had advantages over their legacy peers.
The true measure of how effective a company is doing under the "new norms" of the airline industry, which are seeing an increasing blurring of legacy/low fare carrier lines, is how well carriers take care of their existing employees.
Southwest just announced the conversion of several former small FL cities to WN, with parts of the operation outsourced. WN is just now having to deal w/ the issue that DL and other legacy carriers dealt w/ years ago which is whether they want to expand into smaller cities where economics do not justify their traditional all in-house staffing model or whether they want to add smaller cities and use a different staffing model - not unlike what the legacy carriers did w/ outsoucing of various parts of their operation, including RJ flying.
WN has decided to add to its outsourced maintenance operation with outsourced airport operations.
The question for WN in the years to come will be the same as it has been for legacy carriers: how well do they protect the jobs of existing employees and grow their ranks along with how well do they continue to increase the pay and benefits of their mainline employees. Chances are very high that WN will strike a good balance of adding new stations, including int'l cities, w/o negatively impacing their current employees. But new employees and new stations will operate under a different set of "rules" not unlike what DL has done.
There is abundant data to show that DL has done a better job of protecting the jobs of existing employees than other network/legacy carriers, is adding to the ranks of its mainline employees including via insourcing, and is also increasing the salaries of its mainline employees faster than other airlines, in part because DL is increasing revenue better than most of its peers - which is part of what they are doing w/ the NYC expansion - increase higher value revenue while decreasing costs and bringing more work back to DL employees which increases efficiency of the total DL operation.
While DL says that its goal is industry standard, many DL employees have compensation that is above average for their peers at other airlines.
If DL is able to continue to execute against its business plans and deliver results better than its peers, it is very possible that DL's stated goal may change to becoming above average for its peer group - however that might be defined.