If wishes were horses, beggars would ride.
SpinDoc, tain't gonna happen. No one wants to be the low cost provider of petroleum products. When there are untold riches to be made with very little effort or expense (relative to the profits gained), why would any company want to cut the prices just for the good of society and to be the volume leader?
Look, I worked for Texaco for 16 years. Back in the late 80's when those of us in the industry were moaning that "we might survive if we can just get the price of crude up to $20/bbl", Texaco was the 3rd largest oil company. And to put that in perspective, we were about 1/3 the size of Exxon in revenues which was and is the largest oil company. At that time, Texaco had annual revenues of
$34 billion/year.
When they talk in B schools about barriers to entry into a market/industry, one of the major barriers is cost of entry. In today's world, you are not going to get anyone trying to break into the oil business in a big way. The costs are enormous.
The risks are even higher. Remember the Baltimore Canyon exploration off the coast of New Jersey back in the 80's and early 90's? Texaco alone invested something close to a billion dollars in exploration there. Never produced a single barrel of oil IIRC.
Someone (might be you) has been preaching on these boards about we need to build more refineries in this country. Well, if anyone had the money to do it, it would be the existing major oil companies, and none of them is stepping up to the plate. You know why. They are all just cowering in their boardrooms and hoping that the Bush-Cheney-Gonzales "axis of evil"
😛 can find a loophole in the 22nd Amendment so that Bush can be President-for-Life. Maybe that way they will never have to clean up the environmental disasters called their existing refineries.
And, even if someone were willing to spend the millions of dollars necessary to build a refinery. This ain't like Extreme Makeover Home Edition. A new refinery would take years to come on-line--just like the vaunted ANWR production. By then it's going to be too late for some in the airline industry.
By the way,
click here
for another view of the ANWR issue. Everyone "thinks" that there is a lot of oil there, but no one knows for sure until the drilling actually starts. If we could be sure what was under a particular piece of real estate, there would never be any dry holes. Ask any oil man what is the percentage of dry holes to productive holes. I have a friend in Houston who is a very successful independent petroleum geologist. I can't tell you how many times over the years he has described the frustration of sitting in a chigger-infested field watching nothing but salt water pour out of a "sure thing" hole in the ground.
I know it's hard, but you and I (and all other Americans) are just going to have to give up our Sherman tank-size SUVs, and learn to live with houses heated to 50 degrees in the winter and cooled down to 80 degrees in the summer, and ride public transportation, or we are
always going to have a petroleum products crisis of one type or another. Or, we could just be grateful that we don't have all the above in this paragraph, and ALSO pay the equivalent of $7.00/gal for gas like Europeans do and have done for years.