USA320Pilot
Veteran
- May 18, 2003
- 8,175
- 1,539
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AA would have gone this route along time ago.... It's not in the plan. Maybe JetBlue but not US.
until AA's costs are in the same ballpark as other carriers, there is no merger that could work.
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If AA's costs were low enough to make a merger work, they could begin the process of regaining marketshare on their own.
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Until then, any merger becomes nothing more than an asset transfer that will result in the loss of a whole lot of service that isn't sustainable at AA's cost structure.
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The fascination by some US folks with acquiring AA is not much different than they had when US tried to acquire DL - an attempt to undo the structural disadvantage that US has which results in a lot less long term stability for US employees.
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If AA reaches the point it can't turn things around, then US might get a shot... but it does appear that AA is making some small progress. Whether it will be enough to allow them to effectively compete against other carriers of all types remains to be seen... but AA is not anywhere close to the point where a takeover is likely.
I agree it does seem that the people at US have a fascination to merge with whomever.
Every day it's a different rumor at US about mergers.
I could be wrong but I do not see a AA/US merger in the near future.
By near future I mean whithin a year. Anything beyond that is too far
in the future to predict.
I know one thing for sure a merger between this two companies
would be a mess. 99.999999% of everyone I have ever spoken
to @ AA about merging with US are totally against it.
A merger of the two might look ok in paper but making it work
would be a disaster.
unless it comes down to CEO egos.
I think US leaving Star for OneWorld and participating in the JV's (If feasible) would probably be more beneficial as well as being less disruptive to all involved employee groups.
I wouldn't read any more into it than that UA could see that CO was a likely future merger partner and they couldn't afford to slow the process of integrating a more valuable CO because of overlap between CO and US.You may be right but Star hasn't admitted US into its immunized joint ventures - it's the only US legacy that is forced to compete with its own alliance partners across the Atlantic. Something tells me there's a good reason US hasn't been invited to the Star reindeer games. Wonder if Oneworld would treat US better?
I wouldn't read any more into it than that UA could see that CO was a likely future merger partner and they couldn't afford to slow the process of integrating a more valuable CO because of overlap between CO and US.
Quality could be raised as an issue but the bigger issue is market overlap.
BTW, US is in Star precisely because it provides connections that no one else in Star can provide, esp. to/from the SE where Star needs US to compete w/ DL.
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US' best performing routes from a revenue perspective are to/from Star hubs, esp. in Germany.
I'm sure ol' Duggie Parker would love to take a run at us like he did at Delta. Personally I think US is a crap operation and the merger would be a disaster for us. Despite our many challenges I think we are better off on our own.