Well, I can think of a few folks who might ##### about it.
Mainly, those folks who own American stock.
Remember what happened the last time American came over to Love Field, guns blazing, 14 RTs a day between Dallas and Austin on MD80s with First Class and assigned seats and quadruple AAdvantage miles?
I remember what happened. Even with the State Govt contract fare to Austin American managed to reduce Southwest's DAL-AUS market share by a paltry 10%.
I don't think now would be any different. Especially since Southwest is fortunate enough to be in pretty decent financial shape and if they wanted to...every route AA flew in and out of Love Field, Southwest could bracket their flights and charge twelve dollars each way.
So do I really think American wants to sacrifice what the have over at DFW...to dismantle their premier hub.....to chase after the O&D traffioc Southwest can generate on maybe 40 or 50 trips a day? No, not really.
And that's really what you might be looking at in terms of real flights.....maybe 50 more per day. Southwest isn't going to cut out the Texas intrastate stuff to fly to Long Island or Norfolk from Love Field.
If anything, you'll probably see Southwest running flights to their current destinations.....ABQ, ELP, MSY.....and tacking on a leg and doing PHX, LAX, LAS, or Florida as a one stop.
Why would American worry about competing with a bunch of one stops on a cheap, tacky carrier that doesn't even assign seats? Sheesh.
As far as 100 flights a day by AA into Love instantaneously...my question is where are you going to put them?
American is not renowned for making real efficient use of gates. I would bet that they average maybe 5 or 6 trips per day per gate, excluding multiple Eagle flights at a gate.
If that is so.....100 flights is going to require 20 gates. Southwest doesn't even have 20 gates at Love Field right now. I don't think the entire airport has 20 operational gates right now, albeit I understand it could expand to 32 or so.
If American was really smart....they'd lobby for a modification to Wright but not a repeal. They've said that Southwest ought to move stuff to DFW....but in truth, the LAST thing American really wants or needs is Southwest to set up shop and compete there.
American isn;t a bad airline and it has nonstops to everywhere. People will pay a premium for a nonstop. So lift the thru-and-transfer ticketing restrictions out of Love Field. That could placate the folks hollering for better fares while keeping Southwest from really getting itself in to the better yielding passenger.
Because if this thing plays out and Southwest does get WAS thrown out completely....and that's not outside the realm of possibility....you will see them going nonstop DAL-a lot of places and the premium AA could extract for nonstop service will dry up.
Just a few thoughts. This is interesting, eh?
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