FrugalFlyerv2.0 said:
Here's my $0.02 to this topic:
1) How many times does one have to listen to managements transformation plan before saying 'enough'? How many rounds of concessions does it take?
While I myself am pro-management (more anit-union), the actions of USAirways management show to me that they are certainly not the brightest light in the harbor (and heck, I'm not even an employee of USAirways and I'm saying this). The management had the perfect opportunity in chtp. 11 to put together a Plan A and Plan B, to extract more than enough concessions/work rule changes, etc. and yet they dind't.
The exucse that management didn't see the growth of the LCCs is pretty lame. Jetblue/Airtran have 100's of planes on order - you don't need much higher than a high school degree to figure out that they can't possibly operate all of them out of JFK and ATL respectively. While SW does tend to stick to 'secondary' airports, SW does fly to/from the majors hubs (ie. DTW), and moreover, alfter seeing what SW did at BWI it was only a matter of time before they attacked another U hub.
2) What benefit is there for any airline (or investor) to purchase US Airways assets from a viable company instead of waiting for a chpt. 7 filing? The only draw back is that one might have to pay a little more in a chpt. 7 auction if there is more than 1 bidder, but if there is something you really want then you will pay for it. If I'm a CEO of a competing airline I'm not going to talk to U about purchasing assets, I'm going to be thinking of a plan to hasten U's demise.
Very well said Frugal Flyer....
Look, all you have to do is ask youself a few questions.
Question 1: Why is US Airways trying to sell itself off in pieces.
Answer 1: Because it couldn't sell the whole thing! US Airways has been "for sale" for the last 4 years. UAL, once a potential acquirer backed off the purchase when its own internal problems came to light. These internal problems at UAL have still not been solved.
Question 2: Why does US Airways say they are going to acquire 60 Airbus aircraft?
Answer 2: Well... They gotta say something...
Doesn't ANYBODY see how REDICULOUS it is for US Airways management to be selling assets on one hand and acquring them on the other? And all of this in the midst of a cash crisis! Furthermore, US Airways already has 279 aircraft which cannot make a profit. Why add 60 more loss-makers to the system?
And here we go with the UCT again... Once again... UAL DOES NOT HAVE THE CAPITAL TO INVEST IN US AIRWAYS. PERIOD.
Furthermore, any potential acquirer would have to believe that US Airways, or some of its parts, have the capacity to make profit. I think that most acquirers believe that US Airways has no ability to make profit, whole or parts. Do some assets hold value? Certainly, and we'll get to see that at the Ch.7. Liquidation.
In my opinion, US Airways "White Knight" will not be another airline. None of them want the extreme headaches that come along with US Airways. Fleet integration, Workforce integration, hubs that need closing, A Shuttle that needs to be revamped... 12 commuter partners to be managed (or whatever the number is now). No, US Airways only hopes for a "White Knight" are Jonathan Orienstein and/or Richard Branson... Because those two individuals want to run a major US Airline at any price.