Light Years said:
And uh... didnt they decide on the PIT situation? Why are they crying about it now? Put MAA in PHL then, where theres a huge, underutilized Terminal that is most likely the best commuter terminal in the nation, complete with offices and crew rooms currently occupied by Allegheny, a huge Express hanger (formerly ALG's) with training facilities inside (both brand new), where we have to compete with WN now, and where most of the junior, furloughed folks were anyway.
I would hardly call the PIT situation decided.
They committed to 10 gates on a long term lease, 40 gates on a month-to-month basis, and several other support facilities leases which can be terminated in a year.
That tells me that 80% of the gates can be turn back to ACAA next month, and other facilities returned in 2005. Hardly a ringing endorsement or commitment.
I have to imagine that there is a high probability that if UAIR closes the PIT hub, they will need no growth aircraft for a long while... All of the aircraft currently operating the PIT hub would need to be reassigned elsewhere, in addition to 170 new delivery RJ's? that seems like a lot of aircraft to find new homes for... especially if you believe, as I do, that there is no magical westward expansion on the basis of the industry already having excessive capcity in terms of seats and hubs. If you believe this, then all of PIT's aircraft would need to be redeployed via PHL and CLT hubs, plus point-to-point network development from DCA, LGA, and BOS. That is already a daunting task without the added pressure of hundreds of new RJs.
In my opinion, if UAIR wants to get out of PIT, MDA (or the EMB division, whichever suits you) will become the most persued plan that didn't happen. I think there is a 52% chance that PIT will not be a hub for UAIR in the future. I would think if the EMB aircraft is not certified within a certain period, UAIR can probably get out of it with no or little penalty... In fact UAIR may be owed a penalty from EMB. (I really have no idea as I have no knowledge of the UAIR/EMB delivery contract... just speculating.) I suspect they are hoping this happens.
My reasoning is this: MDA was supposed to be the tool that made PIT work. Then, months after BK, UAIR digs up some right to refuse the PIT lease when it appears that the plan to make PIT work via MDA no longer seems viable.