ClueByFour said: "What, another one of those "LCC made a quarterly profit!"
USA320Pilot comments: Today Bloomberg News publicly reported that Robert McAdoo, a prudential Equity Group LLC analyst, said he expects US Airways to earn 10 cents a share when it reports first-quarter results next month. he previously estimated a loss of $1.73 a share. McAdoo said his new estimate was based on lower costs and improved revenues at US Airways.
Interestingly, McAdoo is expecting US Airways to post a profit during the first quarter, traditionally one of the worst quarters of the year, during a period of record energy prices.
ClueByFour said: "Look for much higher than anticipated "integration costs" and much lower than expected "synergy savings." I've run billion dollar integrations from an IT and process perspective--Parker's estimated "synergies" in those areas alone is laughably optimistic. As for when? I'm not willing to crawl out on the same limb as airline analysts looking for a nice pump and dump opportunity, largely because nobody without serious hedges has a business plan that can support $70/bbl (or higher) oil."
BoeingBoy said: "I have no idea what you saw, but the report issued today by Prudential's McAdoo didn't say anything about insider trading."
USA320Pilot asks: I find it interesting that earlier today I indicated that McAdoo indicated there was "inside trading", Boeing Boy disputed that claim, and then Business Week made the comments below? How could I have reported McAdoo's comments and then the news media published there remarks?
Business Week Online said: "Analyst Bob McAdoo raised his $1.73 first quarter loss estimate to 10 cents earnings per share (EPS,) and his 73 cents 2006 EPS to $6.45 EPS (excluding merger costs.) He now sees costs at the low end of newly provided guidance. He does not think other analysts have properly considered this guidance, or the company's three straight months of 20%+ revenue per available seat mile growth. He had formerly been concerned about integration issues of the combined America West/US Airways company, but he is surprised by the lack of related problems over the past seven months. Recent insider buying adds a degree of confidence in his positive outlook for the company. He raises his $40 stock price target to $48," Business Week Online said.
Moreover, the much of the information I posted in this thread came from J.P. Morgan, Prudential, Lehman Brothers, Business Week, and Bloomberg News, some of it before it was made public knowledge. How can that be? BoeingBoy, with your public research can you figure this out? Moreover, BoeingBoy can you tell me what Business Week means with their comment of "Recent insider buying adds a degree of confidence in his positive outlook for the company?"
Nycbusdriver said: "Obviously Prudential hasn't seen the AWA-side Joint Negotiating Committee memo to its pilots recently released through unofficial channels since the AWA MEC refused to divulge the info through their own Communications Committee," he said.
"There's BIG trouble in paradise. Jerry is trying to work his magic and the AWA-side of the JNC isn't taking the bait. Unless Parker wises up real quick, he will find himself with NO synergy benefits from the pilots. That will impact airline ops big-time," Nycbusdriver noted.
AWA MEC Update - Sunday, April 24, 2006
As most of you know by now our Negotiating Committee has distributed a message to our pilot group that sounds the alarm that management is in the process of implementing a strategy to impose a substandard, concessionary contract. Furthermore the Negotiating Committee implies that this MEC is, in effect, sanctioning management’s bad behavior through a “destructive path of compromise and surrender.â€
The reality is that nothing could be further from the truth. Early in March, the JNC delivered a comprehensive scheduling proposal to management. This proposal encompassed Section 4 (Minimum Pay Guarantees), Section 12
(Hours of Service), Section 18 (International Flying), and Section 25 (Scheduling). Management took a month to look over our proposal and gave us their response last week, when the JNC met with them in DC. While some were shocked
by what management delivered, this MEC was not. In fact, drawing on a long experience of dealing with this management team in general, and the company’s lead negotiator Jerry Glass in particular, your MEC found
management’s counter proposal to be about what we expected. While we were indeed disappointed that Mr. Parker has apparently be feeding us a lot of empty promises about a new era of cooperation, we were unfortunately not surprised.
What our pilots need to focus on is the fact that management’s proposal to us last week, as lame as it is, was only their initial response back to our own proposal from the month before. This is where the work of negotiations begins. This is not the end, as a few would have you believe, but the beginning of our work at the table. No member of this MEC finds management’s proposal acceptable, and no member of this MEC expects that when negotiations are complete that the contract will resemble last week’s proposal in any substantive way.
It is truly disappointing that our Negotiating Committee felt so threatened by management’s counter proposal that they felt it necessary to circumvent the MEC and deliver their own personal message to our pilots.
Ironically, rather than recommit to working even harder to assure that our pilots get the contract they deserve, our team decided to sound the alarm bells instead. It is the negotiators’ responsibility to dismantle management’s
ludicrous proposal and craft it back into something we can be proud of.
Having recently lived through our own Section 6 negotiations, we all know that negotiations are a four step process. First we must ensure that we have the right people at the table.
Secondly, we must successfully negotiate a satisfactory contract.
Thirdly, the contract must be ratified and finally the contract must be implemented. Your MEC will be meeting in Special Session on Wednesday with the aim of determining where we go from here in terms of our negotiating team. As difficult as it may be to make a change now, it is clear that in order to successfully get to step two of the process our entire team must be on the same page.
For too long our pilot group has been divided because we have not been willing to trust each other and work as a team. Our pilots have demanded that the divisiveness stop. Last week you received a letter from this MEC expressing our commitment to each other and to our pilot group. We recognize that the only way we will ever succeed against our true adversary in management is to hang together and fight together.
In Solidarity,
AWA MEC