Bizman said:
Bus,
You and North by Northwest are both correct. Ual's "December" numbers are up 2.4%, but if you read further in the release UAL's pacific rpm's are down 14.4% for the "year", which is what Norht was refering to. Its kind of like the glass half full or half empty. Just depends on the numbers you look at.
Biz, let's oversimplify this a bit. NWA and UAL ARE the big US players in the pacific. Lets just concentrate for a moment on the RPMS that are flown between the two. In May 2002, NWA flew 55% of that shared traffic (by default UAL flew 45%). By December, UAL's share was 56%, and NWA's 44%. So a competitor, while in BANKRUPTCY, gains 21% market share on you in 7 MONTHS and you think thats a GOOD thing!!!
🙄 . Maybe UAL could garner 95% so the NWA guys could REALLY party!!! :blink:
N by NW.
Just a few facts since it doesn't appear you have a firm grasp of your companies financials.
At the end of 2000 (pre-sept 11), UAL had shareholder equity of approx $5.1 BILLION. NWA had 231 MILLION. So your crazy notion that UAL wasn't an extremely profitable company in the past is downright silly.
Most companies go BK over LIQUIDITY ISSUES, NOT because of a negative net worth.
UAL had the misfortune of having an EXTREMELY high level of long term debt comming due in 2002. They paid off 1.38 BILLION. This KILLED cash levels, and with the downturn of 9/11, no one would re-finance. But what kind of crazy company would have that much debt due in any given year? NWA has approx 1.5 BILLION due in 2005 (that'll help the cash balance....) Last I heard NWA was frantically offering big bucks to the bond holders to refinance. I think they were trading $1000 principle bonds for all the accrued interest, and a new bond with a priciple of $1150 AND a 10.5% interest rate. Having 2.8 billion in cash is the equivilent of having 20K in your checking account getting .5% interest while keeping the 60K balance on your 15% interest credit cards.... It only makes sense if you are unsure of your ability to pay the bills in the future....
In Fact, Share holder equity, and debt load at NWA is currently SIGNIFICANTLY worse (when corrected for revenue) at NWA than it was at UAL at the time of BK filing.
As for "owning equipment", it appears that a majority of NWA's "owned jets" are rather old. For example, of 16 747-400's, only 4 are owned (compared to approx 20 for UAL) additonally, UAL ownes 41 777's, 43 757's and 35 767's (a jet here and there may have been sold as part of BK re-org and fleet rationalization, but the numbers are essentially correct). I won't even get into the NB fleets (each of which are newer and have more "miles" left in them). But "Old" jets rule right?! Then why is NWA buying NEW ones? I can find you nearly 100 DC-9's that are up for sell RIGHT NOW. One can be had for less than the cost of leasing an A319 for 6 months. Plenty of DC-10's and 747-200's out there to. Why is it NWA isn't buying? The truth is the only reason they kept the DC-9's is because THEY HAD TO. They couldn't afford new jets. Now they must try to get as much economic life as possible out of them. A320's ARE CHEAPER TO OPERATE!!!