There's no doubt that the APA's cooperation has everything to do with AMR's survival as the other workgroups, a little lower on the food chain, have not been graced with a face to face meeting with the upper echelon. BTW, The Motley Fool (link below) can be added to the list of those on this website that have serious doubts that things can be worked out in time to save this company.
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2011/08/18/these-3-companies-could-disappear-by-2020.aspx?source=itxsitmot0000001&lidx=5
While some people pick and choose the messengers they listen to in hopes of filtering out the messages they don't want to hear, wise people listen to all that is said regardless of whether they like the message or not... if there is a kernel of truth in what is being said, then it just might be worthwhile considering that negative input and making whatever corrections are necessary.
You see, . "Some say negative things behind your back & good things to your face, those are your enemies. Some say negative things to your face & good things behind your back, those are your friends."
That said, unless I am so influential that people at the Motley Fool are copying my thoughts, then there are at least two of us on the planet that have put in writing our concerns about how much debt AA is taking on with this deal, even if it will reduce AA's operating costs.
"Then we have possibly the creme de la creme of bonehead maneuvers. Just last month, AMR placed the largest airplane order in history: a 460-plane order from both Boeing (NYSE: BA ) and Airbus. While AMR's management would have you believe that over the long term, it will have no problem paying for such a large order, call me beyond skeptical. These new orders are fully financed through 2016, but beyond that point, this $40 billion order gets cloudier. AMR shareholders already have more than $11 billion worth of debt on the balance sheet to worry about, so many weren't exactly thrilled to see this new order. It's looking doubtful that AMR will be able to move margins significantly enough in the right direction to make a dent in its massive debt load.
Foolish roundup
Often we're told to stick with the strongest names in a given sector. If that's the case, these three companies are resoundingly the weakest links in their respective sectors. All three are decisively losing money hand over fist with rapidly deteriorating balance sheets. While I don't have a doomsday date in mind, I highly doubt these three will be around by 2020."
While I am not even predicting AMR's death by 2020, no one should be without concern about adding $10B of new debt from this and currently outstanding AA refleeting orders.