WorldTraveler
Corn Field
- Dec 5, 2003
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- #16
bingo!My best guess is... this is all because of WN/FL.
And the bigger issue is that MKE is a market where NW was historically strong, it borders on a region where NW was the dominant carrier for decades (and is one of the larger cities in the upper midwest region), NW invested in YX in order to try to preserve its position in the market w/o competing with them though I am certain NW could have driven YX out of MKE if they tried, YX's standalone business plan failed and they were bought by F9 whose business plan in MKE itself has failed, MKE became a knock-down drag out between F9, WN, and FL, and now that the market has consolidated with DL and WN as the two largest carriers, DL has decided it is worth investing in the city to ensure that DL regains the position NW once held and to also ensure that WN doesn't grow MKE to the point where it can pull traffic from cities throughout WI that are key to DL's upper midwest strategy.
Add in that one of DL's largest hubs is a couple hundred miles away on a route that WN will start flying shortly and DL has every reason to fight to protect its position not only in the MKE market but also the upper midwest.
E,
Yes, DL's investment if true seems expensive for an operation the size of which DL has in MKE but it is precisely the strategic and regional implications of what WN is trying to do that is motivating DL to act aggressively. DL is not only protecting its upper midwest strategy (NW called it the heartland strategy) but DL also wants to be in the position of being able to pull traffic out of the Chicago market as well.
Remember that we have talked for years about the fact that DL has managed to protect its markets from low fare competitors better than other network carriers - a trait that NW also had.
It isn't a surprise that DL found NW's market position in the upper midwest and its dual midwest hub strategy attractive and complementary to DL's dominance of the SE.
Notably, WN has added MSP recently and gains a larger position with FL, but in the MSP-CHI market, DL has managed to protect the leadership position in the market which NW established - and WN's growth has come at the expense of other carriers in the market.
History strongly favors DL's ability to protect its markets, for DL to recognize what it takes to protect its markets, and for WN to choose to gain a reasonably sized presence but then focus their growth efforts elsewhere with other carriers bearing the brunt of WN's growth in the market.
As always, we can check back in a couple years but I think it will be shown that MKE will become just one more of the many midwest markets where DL and WN coexist side by side while other carriers are reduced to smaller and smaller shares of those markets.