OP
USA320Pilot
Veteran
- May 18, 2003
- 8,175
- 1,539
- Thread Starter
- Thread starter
- #16
Let's look at what we know to be the facts:
1. On August 4 the company filed a SEC 10Q report warning investors the airline could file for bankruptcy in the not-so-distant future if it was unable to implement its "Transformation Plan".
2. The company is scheduled to make $110 million in pension payments to the IAM and AFA on September 15. The only way to avoid paying those payments is to file for bankruptcy or pull a United Airlines, which the PBGC says is illegal.
3. The company indicated "it anticipates risk of failing to comply with the (ATSB) covenants as of September 30."
4. The company stressed the need to achieve its Transformation Plan during the third quarter "in light of the potential loss of financing for new regional jets, violation of debt covenants and significant collateralization events under certain credit card processing agreements."
This would require US Airways to have new agreements in place by September 30, which the airline previously indicated was the final date for ratified labor accords.
Therefore, if the date is true, I understand the company's motivation to execute its pre-packaged bankruptcy before September 15 to not pay the pension payments. However, a mid-September filing would occur before the airline violates the loan guarantee covenants, the company would still have RJ financing in place, and not have met its deadline for new labor accords.
Therefore, in my opinion only, instead of a September 12 filing, if there is a deal with ALPA, the company will not pay the AFA and IAM payments (similar to United's decision) and then wait to violate the ATSB covenants on September 30. Then on Sunday, October 3, an involuntary bankruptcy filing for US Airways could be filed and in coordination with the Company, the ATSB and other creditors could help the airline reorganize again under Chapter 11.
Respectfully,
USA320Pilot
1. On August 4 the company filed a SEC 10Q report warning investors the airline could file for bankruptcy in the not-so-distant future if it was unable to implement its "Transformation Plan".
2. The company is scheduled to make $110 million in pension payments to the IAM and AFA on September 15. The only way to avoid paying those payments is to file for bankruptcy or pull a United Airlines, which the PBGC says is illegal.
3. The company indicated "it anticipates risk of failing to comply with the (ATSB) covenants as of September 30."
4. The company stressed the need to achieve its Transformation Plan during the third quarter "in light of the potential loss of financing for new regional jets, violation of debt covenants and significant collateralization events under certain credit card processing agreements."
This would require US Airways to have new agreements in place by September 30, which the airline previously indicated was the final date for ratified labor accords.
Therefore, if the date is true, I understand the company's motivation to execute its pre-packaged bankruptcy before September 15 to not pay the pension payments. However, a mid-September filing would occur before the airline violates the loan guarantee covenants, the company would still have RJ financing in place, and not have met its deadline for new labor accords.
Therefore, in my opinion only, instead of a September 12 filing, if there is a deal with ALPA, the company will not pay the AFA and IAM payments (similar to United's decision) and then wait to violate the ATSB covenants on September 30. Then on Sunday, October 3, an involuntary bankruptcy filing for US Airways could be filed and in coordination with the Company, the ATSB and other creditors could help the airline reorganize again under Chapter 11.
Respectfully,
USA320Pilot