OldGuy,
remember that many pension plans including AA's were funded solely by investment returns in the late 90s when the stock market was in its heyday. The drop in the stock market came at the same time that the airline industry tanked post 9/11.
Airlines like UA and US which went first into BK had no choice but to terminate their pension plans; they couldn't afford to keep pension plans solvent.
And yes Congress stepped in with the pension protection act that allowed airlines in BK (DL and NW at the time) to stretch out their payments ot their pension plans in exchange for not terminating - and that is exactly what DL and NW did w/ the exception of the PMDL pilot pension plan which had a lump sum feature that was unsustainable. DL and NW would have paid out billions in equity in their new companies to the PBGC to settle claims and chose to freeze their pensions instead. Congress does not want to see pension plans terminated and gave companies options as well as a big stick to make sure companies use options other than termination.
Yes, 401k plans cost more because companies have to fund them today and not put off payments for years like what can be done with DB plans. AA's pension obligations end with your paycheck when they deposit your 401K funds into your account. And that is precisely why companies want 401k plans - so they don't have billions of dollars in liabilities on their books. The price is already paid even if it is higher; companies and investors do not like risk or uncertainty, which is exactly the hallmark of DB plans.
The risk for managing your retirement is now yours. The vast majority of other Americans do it; many pay for managers to help but it is hardly necessary.
You don't need anyone looking after your pension interests when the company pays it to you w/ your paycheck.
As with any statement I make, you can check me in a couple years or more, but I don't see the PBGC defaulting on its pension obligations - there are just too many Americans who have PBGC guaranteed benefits. Like Social Security, it would be political suicide to walk away from those obligations.
Everyone wants to blame someone but who would you like to blame for the drop in the stock market in the early 2000s... the dot com bust was coming and 9/11 pushed the stock market over the cliff (to use today's words).
You seem to expect companies to overcome economic shocks in the US that have not been seen since the Great Depression.
I WANT you to keep your pension and its benefits. And BTW, you can draw your pension much sooner under AA's rules even if frozen than you can under the PBGC's rules if it were frozen.
Congress has screwed up plenty but there isn't much anyone could have done to make pensions any more solvent given the drop in the stock market; whether you want to admit it or not, Congress has done as much as possible to keep those plans from being terminated. DL, NW, and AA employees will come away from BK w/ very different outlooks than will UA and US employees.
And AA and DL still have those pension responsibilties on their books... and have to run businesses sufficiently strong enough to support them. So far, DL has been able to meet its pension obligations which amount to more than $600M per year. We will have to see if AA can do so as well.