Alright, once again I am going to go against the grain here and try to be the voice of reason.
USFlyer is correct when he said that Dave''s choice of words were probably not the best. Prior to the war in Iraq, most all major airline fleet counts leveled off with US taking the largest fleet reduction of any major carrier post 9/11. Since the start of the Iraq war all other major airlines had cut their schedule another 10-20%, and did so by grounding additional airplanes. Our approach was to reduce the flying day for many airplanes on Tues, Wed and Sat. By doing this we maintained our 279 a/c fleet count and still reduced flying by 5%.
Dave''s original comment was that if loads did not pick up by September that there may have to be some MODEST fleet count reductions. Defining modest fleet reductions would be tough to do since we all have different views of what modest would be. I think modest adjustments could be achieved in a number of ways, and not reduce total fleet count. First would be the already announced reconfiguration of the 757 and Shuttle fleets. This will require that those airplanes be taken off line for a downtime and may be in addition to the heavy mtc tracks that are already out there. Aircraft painting is another way to reallocate an active airplane. As many people have commented, many of the airplanes are starting to look a bit rough and will require repainting. Painting of aircraft usually occurs every 5-6 years, depending on the wear. Then there is reallocating active airplanes to become spares. As it stands now, we start our day with very few operational spares in the system. Bumping up our spare aircraft count again maintains the active fleet count of 279, but reduces the active lines of flying. Airbus "S" checks are coming due this fall also. This again will reallocate an active airplane(s), not reducing the fleet count, but reducing acitve lines of flying.
So if you have 2 aircraft being reconfigured, 2 aircraft in paint, 3-4 additional spare airplanes, 1-2 Airbus S checks then you have modestly reduced the number of planes actively flying revenue, while still maintaining the total fleet count of 279. I am not sure if the Pilot contract contains a provision for the number of block hours to be flown or anything like that. I don''t see how the comapny can claim Force Majeur when the war event ended 5-6 months prior, but stranger things have happened.
As for the RJ''s at MDA accounting for part of the 279 fleet count, I think LavMan has shown that the language is there, in all the contracts, that will not allow them to be counted as a mainline airplane.
Again, this is just a different perspective on things.....take it for what you will.