This thread has definitely had its share of interest with 3,819 views and we should know the resolution to the debate within a few months.
United is required by the bankruptcy code and its 180-day extension to submit its Business Plan and Plan of Reorganization (POR) to the court in early December. Then the POR and Disclosure Statement must be voted on by the creditors committee and approved by Judge Wedoff before the airline can emerge from court protection.
However, prior to submitting its POR, United must:
1. Meet its DIP financing targets in October and November in light of falling traffic after Labor Day, where United spokesman Jeff Green told the Rock Mountain News yesterday, "We are headed into a slower travel season, so it's too soon to make predictions" about the company's future bankruptcy progress.
2. Find a way to fund its undefended pensions, where Glenn Tilton recently said union concession were not enough to bridge the gap.
3. Presumably submit an application to the ATSB, which projects a 7% profit margin in 7 years and have the application audited for accuracy by Fitch Rating. In light of Green’s comments, what effect will falling revenues have on the 7% profit margin?
4. Resolve business plan issues such as the Denver Airport negotiation, Atlantic Coast/Dulles negotiations, EETC resolutions, answer to the motion by San Francisco, Los Angeles, Denver, Chicago, and New York airports to evict United, and satisfactory negotiations with other stakeholders (creditors, vendors, and lessors).
5. Repayment of up to $1.5 billion in DIP financing.
6. Obtain exit financing to provide sufficient liquidity upon emergence.
Separately, Itrade just reported, “On August 26, US Airways attorneys reported to the Department of Transportation that no domestic party has objected to the company’s application to code-share with Lufthansa. As such, expect approval very soon.â€
As stated before, I believe United will emerge from bankruptcy, but as Glenn Tilton recently told employees in a recorded message, “there will need to be tough choices made†to continue operations and I think the company will become smaller.
How will this end up? Nobody truly knows, but as I have said countless times, there have been on-going discussions between US Airways and United about some form of a UCT and it remains to be seen whether or not this will come to fruition.
Cosmo, since you are inflammatory with regard to calling people a "liar", can you tell me which comment above is false?
Regards,
Chip