FlyingHippie
Senior
- Jan 27, 2003
- 283
- 0
This post is from another board. But, I think it's worth posting here.
"Pure speculation, for what it's worth:
Recent reports say Branson has sold off a portion of his Australian operation and intends to use the proceeds to finance his US plans. Thursday's (been out of town, still catching up) WSJ reiterates his intention to "launch" operations "next spring." I don't know if launch means start flying or start planning; but if he wants to fly in 2004, I suspect some major planning has to be going on now.
I further suspect that if there's any planning going on now, it isn't some de novo, i.e. virgin (sorry, couldn't resist), operation or we would have heard rumors.
Meanwhile, we have U ... talking about Midatlantic Airlines but not really doing much concrete (I believe they have one aircraft in PIT and are beginning some pilot training) and also talking about starting up "next spring."
So ... I'm starting to think that Midatlantic will morph into Virgin Red White and Blue with U owning some portion, Branson 25%, and a friendly "US investment company" owning the rest. For a start, they could put a hub at IAD, avoiding direct competition with PHL or CLT, moving the non-labor parts of a weak PIT operation into a much bigger and more importantly *growing* Washington market. It could feed Virgin Atlantic, which under proposed EC rules could (probably sooner than we think) fly to almost any European city.
The egos of Siegel and Branson would probably have no difficulty assuming they could blow UAL and ACAI out of IAD overnight. USALA stock ($7?) would probably double overnight at the prospect of a 1:1 spinoff of VRWB. U could further sell LGA slots to VRBW, allowing a NYC operation to grow up, basically do to U what Lorenzo did to EAL: cherrypick the assets and let the remaining PHL and CLT operations sink or swim on their own with a view toward selling them to UAL eventually."
"Pure speculation, for what it's worth:
Recent reports say Branson has sold off a portion of his Australian operation and intends to use the proceeds to finance his US plans. Thursday's (been out of town, still catching up) WSJ reiterates his intention to "launch" operations "next spring." I don't know if launch means start flying or start planning; but if he wants to fly in 2004, I suspect some major planning has to be going on now.
I further suspect that if there's any planning going on now, it isn't some de novo, i.e. virgin (sorry, couldn't resist), operation or we would have heard rumors.
Meanwhile, we have U ... talking about Midatlantic Airlines but not really doing much concrete (I believe they have one aircraft in PIT and are beginning some pilot training) and also talking about starting up "next spring."
So ... I'm starting to think that Midatlantic will morph into Virgin Red White and Blue with U owning some portion, Branson 25%, and a friendly "US investment company" owning the rest. For a start, they could put a hub at IAD, avoiding direct competition with PHL or CLT, moving the non-labor parts of a weak PIT operation into a much bigger and more importantly *growing* Washington market. It could feed Virgin Atlantic, which under proposed EC rules could (probably sooner than we think) fly to almost any European city.
The egos of Siegel and Branson would probably have no difficulty assuming they could blow UAL and ACAI out of IAD overnight. USALA stock ($7?) would probably double overnight at the prospect of a 1:1 spinoff of VRWB. U could further sell LGA slots to VRBW, allowing a NYC operation to grow up, basically do to U what Lorenzo did to EAL: cherrypick the assets and let the remaining PHL and CLT operations sink or swim on their own with a view toward selling them to UAL eventually."