I think people at AA like to superimpose other airlines problems onto AA. USairways pensions are like 35% funded, and I think UAL's is around 50%funded. Our pension is around 75% funded with full retirement at age 60!!! As recently as 2000 our pension was 100%+ funded. If AA and the unions agreed to change the retirement age that right there would have a significant impact without lowering the benifit.Wretched Wrench said:Hmmmmmmmm..........An accepted rule of thumb is that if you draw down 4 to 5 percent of your lump sum yearly, it will last 30 years, if inflation and the stock market shows average readings, and if it is invested in a mix of stocks and bonds.
Given that rule, a lump sum of $456,000 would yield a yearly income of $18,360 at a 4 percent drawdown, and $22,800 per year at a 5 percent drawdawn rate. This is not quite the equivalent of your hypothetical $50,000 per year.
Or we could work backward, and multiply the $50,000 per year by 25 (the reciprocal of 4%) and come up with $1,250,000 as the amount that would be required to allow a $50,000 yearly income. Actuarial considerations would also have to be factored in, as few of us will live 30 years in retirement. Perhaps we should use AA's 20 year guaranteed period certain figure rather than the more popular lifetime annuity. But we are getting in to apples and oranges here, as I know of no "rule of thumb" for a 20 year drawdawn period. Anybody?
Another thought would be to shop for annuities and see what an annuity costing $456,000 would pay out for twenty years and compare it to AA's 20 year period certain amount. or what an annuity with a payout of $50,000 annually would cost.
How many of us would get $50,000 per year from AA's plan? I will qualify for much less, but doubt I will ever see it.
BTW, this is all offered as discussion more than disagreement. Let's keep it going.