Here are some key points I know to be factual:
1. US Airways' Mesa "fee for service" agreement expires in less than 12 months on January 1, 2011. This gives US Airways leverage to modifiy terms with Mesa. Another words, if Mesa wants any of US Airways' business before it exists bankrupty then the two companies must negotiate a new mutually acceptable agreement or Mesa will lose all of its US Airways Express flying.
2. US Airways has a plan in place to back fill Mesa flying. US Airways' network restructuring will reduce Express ASMs as ClueByFour indicated, but the vast majority of 2010 Express ASM reductions will come out of LGA. US Airways will have over 99 percent of its network flown with point-to-point service from CLT, DCA, PHL, and PHX. This mainline service requires feed to support longer-haul flying.
3. US Airways has current "fee for service" agreements in place with companies like Air Wisconsin and Republic and must have their LGA ASMs flown some where in the network when LGA Express flying is dramatically reduced due to the Slot Transaction. I understand this flying will be reallocated to CLT, DCA, PHL, and PHX, which will back fill Mesa's current service when removed.
4. The only flying US Airways can contractually remove is that flown by Mesa, Piedmont, PSA, and the 15 E-190s. According to Doug Parker at a recent Crew News Session US Airways has very little room to further reduce flying except the 15 E-190s or its wholly owneds, but at this point there is no intention of reducing PSA and Piedmont's fleet. In addition, I have been told that Piedmont will likely open PHX as a Station and Crew Base.
Regards,
USA320Pilot