The award turned most of the east F/O's into permanent F/O's due to their age.
Generally wrong. For it to be true, those F/O's would have to benefit from
all of the East attrition if separate(which they don't) or
only East attrition if combined (which they also don't). In short, a F/O that would have made Captain will still likely make Captain while a F/O who would have retired before making Captain will still retire before making Captain.
The four year fence is meaningless. Once it comes down, virtually all of the left-seat wide-body vacancies will go to west pilots.
Also wrong. For this to be correct, there would have to be a block of West pilots (below the 517) who would take
all widebody Captain vacancies before any East pilot. Following the 517, these are the next pilots to have a shot at widebody Captain:
West, East, West, West, East, East, East, West, East, East, West, East, East, West, East, East, The pattern continues on down the list.
Can you explain why those East pilots on that list won't be able to get widebody Captain bids? Or conversely, how the West pilots will be able to get widebody bids
before the East pilots senior to them?
Jim
ps - having a seniority list on my computer I have the advantage of seeing exactly how many retirements any pilot will benefit from - something few other pilots have.