WeAAsles said:
Yea I think this story is still only in the middle of the book right now. Another question is can the markets the airlines want to fly these planes to support the wages that people want or are demanding? People outside of major cities only earn so much and that's why many towns and cities are full of ghosts now.
WeAAsles said:
Mainline revenue is very different from what's generated from the regional feed and regional communities as well. If the traffic is only to a hub and doesn't connect somewhere else it's not necessarily worth it to continue offering the service. And people in those areas can only afford to pay so much to fly or they would be forced to find other options if they need to travel. It's economics.
I might be misunderstanding your points, but what does the income of the typical small-town passenger have to do with this discussion?
AA has ordered lots of 76-seaters (E175s and fewer CRJ900s), primarily to replace the uneconomic 50-seaters and secondarily, perhaps, to replace some mainline planes where the MD-80 is really too much capacity.
Don't know why you're focusing on poor red-state Americans, but the reality is that these large RJs are flown in markets like NYC-CHI (Delta and UA, IIRC) and those places have sufficient business travelers and high income leisure travelers.
This dispute is nothing more than Parker and Kirby wanting to chisel away at some nickels and dimes from AA's lowest-paid pilots - its regional jet captains and first officers. Envoy pilots (when it was still called "American Eagle Airlines") gave concessions in 2012 as part of MQ's Chapter 11 filing (just like you did due to AA's and AMR's Ch 11 filings).
And by May or June of 2013, before the new pilot rest and 1,500 hour rules became effective, Parker and Kirby raised their swords over the heads of the Envoy pilots and demanded EVEN MORE CONCESSIONS on top of the bankruptcy-demanded concessions to which they agreed. What if they did not give more concessions? Well, then, said Parker and Kirby - we'll find other lower bidders to fly those new E175s and CRJ900s you guys thought you might get to fly as we retire the 37/44/50 seat ERJs.
Quite a bit has changed in the regional pilot market since May/June 2013. Republic pilots overwhelmingly rejected a TA recently that contained pay raises - not concessions. Some regional operators have had to cancel capacity purchase agreements before they expired because they can't find enough new pilots who have 1,500 hours (at the starting wages they're willing to pay).
It's good business (from management's perspective) to squeeze your lower-paid work groups for every last dollar they're willing to give. Except, maybe, pilots in 2014.
Due to the new regulations, pilots are the one work group in the industry that currently has some leverage.
Flight attendants? Couple million people turn 18 each year. Couple million turn 19 or 20 or 21. There is no shortage of people qualified to be flight attendants. A few weeks training and they're good to go. Fleet service? Starting wages are crap, but the airlines and the low-paid outsourcing firms seem to find enough of them. Mechanics? With routine maintenance able to be scheduled half-way around the world, there seems to be no shortage of mechanics. Line maintenance is really the only maintenance work that has to be done in the USA in high-cost cities overnight. And yes, Mr Owens, there's a looming shortage of mechanics because young people today see no real future in that field. Been that way for a while, and yet none of the legacy mechanics have figured out how to leverage that into substantial pay raises.
Back to your last point: Most of the passengers on the 50-seaters (or their 76-seat replacements) are not O&D passengers simply flying to or from the hub. Most of them are typically connecting to mainline flights. That's how people who live in a non-hub fly to other parts of the country or Central or South America or Europe or Asia or Australia. And it's how people from those places get to medium and small cities in the USA for business or leisure travel.
Parker and Kirby aren't squeezing the Envoy (or PSA or Piedmont) pilots because they doubt that passengers can afford to pay to fly on these 76-seaters without such concessions. Parker and Kirby are demanding further concessions because, in their view, $1.9 billion of profit in the first half of the year is just not enough and that they can add to those profits by squeezing a few more dollars from the regional pilots.
As
will fix for food correctly observed - Parker and Kirby will be coming after you next.