Ok... here is the bit on the cash...
US Airways ended 1Q04 with $1.64Bil Cash, $978mil unrestricted cash...
US Airways emded 2Q04 with $1.73Bil Cash, $975mil unrestricted cash...
So net cash increased by $90Mil, while unrestricted cash declined about $3mil...
Here is the skinny... The increase in restricted cash has to do with primarily two things... one... cash becomes restricted leading up to normal ATSB loan payments, and two, increasing revenue means increasing credit card usage, which requires more restricted cash (per agreements with credit card services, which frankly, I don't really understand the details of)...
However, the unrestricted number is important, because, when unrestricted cash reaches $700mil, US Airways will be in default of their ATSB loan covenants. The fact that they company did not gain any breathing room here concerns me.
The end of 3Q and early 4Q are generally loss producing times... And cash should bottom out in 3Q... So we will see soon how close the company comes to that loan covenant.
Overall, I think this was a decent quarter, but the company is far from "out of the woods". I think this probably represents the best that the company could have done this quarter, given the situation (fuel prices, LCCs, broken biz model, etc, etc). I agree with LaBradford's assessment that this simply buys everyone, management and unions/employees, more time to figure out what is next...
Prognosis for the 3rd Quarter is already looking bad... Oil prices seem to have leveled out at $38bbl, air fares are not increasing, and sales for the off-peak season (after Labor Day to before Thanksgiving) have begun earlier this year than years past (meaning more discount seats will be sold by the industry for this time period). All this is leading up to a bad 3Q, so say the analysts... I guess the good news here is that costs should level out or decline, thus US Airways should be able to spend less... The only question is how much can they take in...
Also, the company has YTD, $143Mil loss. Thus a loss for the year is all but guaranteed.
Other developments...
Its nice to see some hedging in place... And new service announcements in competitive, strategic markets... PIT announcements (even though bad for employees, good for the company to start implenting things)... However, the changes are still not fast enough for me, but are probably lightning speed for US Airways.