The Pittsburgh Hub

USA320Pilot

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May 18, 2003
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I believe today’s agreement between the Allegheny County Airport Authority (ACAA) and US Airways can best be described as an agreement that has options, and positions US Airways for the future, with or without Pittsburgh as a hub airport. US Airways has created an agreement that permits the airport to become the company’s fourth focus city or remain the carriers second largest hub, similar in scope to Cincinnati where Comair is to Delta, US Airways Express/MDA would be to US Airways.

When analyzing management actions I believe it’s important to focus on what is not said as much as what did the parties say. Let’s take a look at some key points:

Point #1 - US Airways signed a three-year lease agreement for its current on-airport support facilities, but the document has a one-year exit clause. Why does the agreement have an exit clause? Is the company simply trying to create negotiating leverage or does the airline have an ulterior motive with possible gates and facilities that may become available later this year?

Separately, why did the parties not agree to a three-year lease for the Pilot Training Center, the Carnot Flight Attendant Training Center, the Simulator Building, RIDC Park West Operations and Support Offices, and Greentree Reservations Facility?

Previously the City of Charlotte built an extension onto the Training Center, which is now under utilized and has four open simulator bays.

US Airways currently conducts pilot B767/757, some B737, and EMB-170 pilot training in Pittsburgh. The simulator building only houses two simulators for the B767/757 and B737. In addition, US Airways has reached an agreement with CAE to provide the company with a CRJ and EMB simulator. To provide economies of scale, could US Airways reject the simulator building and move the B767/B757 and B737 to Charlotte, as well as install the new CRJ and EMB simulators Charlotte, to lower unit costs?

In regard to the Pittsburgh Pilot Training Center, the Carnot Flight Attendant Training Center, RIDC Park West Operations and Support Offices, I believe these facilities could also be moved to vacant office space in Charlotte. Moreover, with the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reporting in early December that US Airways was in negotiations with the Greentree Reservation Facility landlord, I suspect the company could move this facility to Winston-Salem, to provide one mega-reservations sales center.

Meanwhile, I believe the 3-year on-airport agreement regarding the maintenance facility could be significant as well. Next Monday the company’s appeal to the A320 heavy maintenance facility will be heard in Philadelphia. If US Airways is successful in its appeal, could the company then turn to Embraer to provide the EMB-190/195 aircraft as a B737 replacement and outsource the Embraer overhaul as well? The EMB-190 will be available for delivery in 2006, thus the 3-year hangar agreement could be a loaded gun to the IAM, which may want to negotiate an agreement to keep heavy maintenance in house, versus run the risk of a negative court decision.

Point #2 – US Airways now has in place an agreement that could make Pittsburgh a focus city and if other aircraft or other key airport gates become available, the airline could move about 30 mainline aircraft, as well as the rumored additional 60 A320 aircraft that could arrive in 2004 and 2005, westward to other major cities. Thus, I believe it is in the Commonwealth and County’s best interest to cut a deal as soon as possible to keep US Airways in Pittsburgh. It’s clear that US Airways is very important to Western Pennsylvania’s economic well being and today the Reuters said, “Elected officials and US Airways, whose success is deemed vital for Pittsburgh's vitality, have been trying for months to renegotiate the lease before it expired on Jan. 4. Without a thriving airport, the fate of Pittsburgh, now grappling with a long-term downturn, would be even bleaker.â€

Point #3 –US Airway s signed a lease agreement through 2018 for 10 gates and will lease another 40 gates on a month-to-month non-signatory basis, which will increase the company’s monthly operating expense by about $200,000 per month or cost the airline about $2 million through September. If US Airways truly wanted to keep Pittsburgh as a hub, why would the airline pay the additional rent, unless the airline had another opportunity, which is believed to be a westward option? To support this point Allegheny County Chief Executive Dan Onorato said at a press conference, "Today, there is no deal on the table. Today is really, and I want to stress this point, to get beyond the termination date and find out what exactly US Airways is going to commit to over the next eight months as we continue to negotiate."

Mr. Onorato added that "anything can happen after the eight months."

Thus as I have said before, if the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the ACAA truly want a deal, I strongly believe the government should immediately find ways to raise revenue, presumably from riverboat gambling, to pay down the huge airport debt burden, and to build a new arena for the Pittsburgh Penguins, who could leave Pittsburgh as well.

To emphasis this point, US Airways senior vice president of corporate affairs Chris Chiames said in a statement, “We understand that public officials have some difficult choices to make, and in turn, they understand that we must begin making business decisions very soon and that these decisions must be concluded quickly.â€

From this observer’s perch, these decisions could involve an airline currently operating in a formal reorganization, the ability to move assets, the potential to obtain Swiss International A330/A320 assets, and the upcoming “Transformation Planâ€, now scheduled to be released in early February.

In conclusion, I believe its imperative the ACAA find a way to immediately reach an acceptable long-term accord with US Airways on the Pittsburgh airport, or Western Pennsylvania will see its hub airport become a focus city, the County could see about $50 of $70 million in airport revenue evaporate this fall, and the airline could fly

airplane_e0.gif


Meanwhile, it has come to my attention US Airways may announce in the not-so-distant future the merger of Piedmont and Allegheny Airlines and that the Arlington-based carrier has reached a definitive plan to place 25 CRJ-700s at PSA Airlines.

Respectfully,

Chip
 
Chip Munn said:
From this observer’s perch, these decisions could involve an airline currently operating in a formal reorganization...
Hmmmm, wonder who THAT could be?

We are no longer "the friendly skies" but are now "the airline that dare not speak it's name."

:rolleyes:
 
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Today the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette said departing county Chief Executive Jim Roddey recommended that the county stop negotiating with US Airways, predicting the company would either file for bankruptcy again or merge with another carrier and arguing that "whatever they promise doesn't mean anything. They are going to do whatever it is that keeps them viable, regardless of what they say [in negotiations]."

Before Onorato sat down with airline officials Dec. 5, the last meeting between the county and the airline was back in mid-September, when US Airways executives proposed an array of hotel, sales and car rental tax increases to cut $500 million in debt at Pittsburgh International, where US Airways wants to lower its costs.

The two sides began talking again a few weeks ago, discussing what to do about the Jan. 5 lease cancellations at the airport. Asked why the situation had improved, Jeff Letwin, solicitor for the airport authority said, "My feeling is that things have gotten better since Dan [Onorato] had that first meeting." Before Onorato got involved, "no one was really addressing [today's deadline]."

Chip asks: If US Airways did not have an option to move its assets, presumably westward, then why would there have been no active negotiations this fall until Allegheny County Chief Executive Elect Dan Onorato took a key roll, just one month before the previous agreement expired?

Respectfully,

Chip

b40.gif
 
I knew you couldn't make it without your stupid "merge" talk.
Just once...............leave it out.

Your ideas are so bizarre
 
ok i am a little confused about the agreements. For the 40 gates US is leasing on a month to month basis, can they leave these gates at any month? It sounded like they were committed to these gates until labor day and then if they wanted to leave they could leave.
 
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Group:

Another interesting aspect to yesterday's new agreement is that the company also lowered the number of commuter gates US Airways operates on a month-to-month basis, to 12 from 22 on Concourse E.

This sounds like to me we are moving more towards a focus city than a hub.

Regards,

Chip
 
Chip Munn said:
Group:

Another interesting aspect to yesterday's new agreement is that the company also lowered the number of commuter gates US Airways operates on a month-to-month basis, to 12 from 22 on Concourse E.

This sounds like to me we are moving more towards a focus city than a hub.

Regards,

Chip
That's FUD. US has wanted to move out of concourse E for some time. This is not anything new, and has absolutely zero to do with the prospects of PIT as a long term hub.

Moreover, there is no westward option. The only asset of United that U might get to move into is a future commuter terminal at IAD, with MAA.

I think the question that informed observers should be asking themselves is why would a company increase their costs of doing business at an airport for at least 6-8 months if they are going to move assets. Moreover, you have to ask yourself, based on the last published interview with the Chairman of the Board if he seems like a guy who is going to provide additonal capital (that the the company cannot afford to burn) to move the hub anywhere, much less pay for chunks of ORD (which would presumably be bid on by other, more solvent airlines). You don't think somebody well financed like, Jetblue, for instance, would not be interested in doing to ORD what they did to JFK, do you?

Jim Roddey did not cave to US Airways because unlike Dan Onorato, he has a resume that has involved business and real moneymaking ventures, and presumably knows better than to waste time and public (or PIT travelers in the event of a PFC increase) funds dealing with a failing airline currently being helmed by a dishonest group of theives who lack the operational acumen to produce white toast from a toaster and who allow their strategic decisions to be driven by a short man with all signs of a short man's ego and a redneck golf fan. Onorato, bless his heart, is still a democrat, and will thus try to deal with the CCY crowd to the extent that some mainline presence (and jobs) are maintained. Short of that, look for Danny-O to lift the middle finger in the Dave's general direction.

And since it's not like US has any better options, that's not a bad thought.

Dorothy at 11.
 
PineyBob said:
Clue,
Why so much venom? I think the management of US Airways is at minimim sharper than a bologna sandwich. Seriously their job isn't to make the people of PIT happy it's to first keep the doors open and secondly create a return on investment.
The best path to both is not to try to muscle PIT, the IAM, AFA, ALPA, and anybody else who crosses their path.

If these guys showed a bit of any kind of acumen at anything, I'd be willing to give 'em a shot. Unfortunately, they've screwed the proverbial pooch at every turn. PIT, the IAM issue (which they stand a very good chance of losing, and airplanes are literally being grounded in the interim), the PBGC loss, etc. From an operational standpoint, I give you the PHL baggage belt versions 1 and 2, the little "communciation breakdown" with the interesting landing at Dulles the other month, the 757 reconfig, etc.

The only thing these guys have shown the acumen to do is cost-out, and based on what has transpired during and post-bankruptcy, it certainly appears like they did not even do that right.

Respect is earned. Regarding the PIT decision--if you accept the fact that Dorothy is not coming to visit and ORD is not going to fall into US' hands, there is no other option that will generate more gross revenue for US at virtually any cost.

Regarding Roddey--I've actually met the man and talked with him at length. Quite honestly, the guy was a Republican in Pittsburgh--that alone requires an armed escort. If that is your hang up with the guy, I'd submit that my hangup with Seigel and company is that they are apparently lousy executives (based on US' performance since they took the helm) and lying/egotistical short men is equally as legitimate.
 
Chipmunn

I believe your right about US Airways turning Pittsburgh into a focus hub. I believe they will identify the top 15 (or so) O&D markets out of PIT and fly a rolling hub type operation with between 4-8 flights per day to each of those top O&D markets. Thats nothing more than what any LCC would do out of Pittsburgh. With some 50-seat RJs, they could identify a few medium and larger small hub O&D markets and serve those cities.

But, good-bye to USAirways flying into Pittsburgh from all of the smaller small hub and non-hub markets. You'll never see Southwest or AirTran flying between Pit and Morgantown, Huntington, or the Erie's of the world.
 
IMO, a US Express service carrier could find itself flying the UAL express service at IAD in the near future.

With ACA well on its way to becoming the an extinct species the feed will have to come from somewhere. Pull down of express service at PIT may allow for one of the carriers to free up some aircraft for IAD ops.

Just my wild speculation.
 
magsau-

Nothing wild about that. Trans States Airlines and Mesa Airlines, current US Airways Express carriers, begin IAD United Express operations soon if they haven't already done so.

Both carriers have numerous aircraft being delivered, so thier UAX involvement doesn't affect thier USX agreements. Trans States also flies American Connection and Mesa also flies America West Express as well as an independent EAS operation.

We'd be happy to get rid of them and all of the other contract carriers and bring the flying back in-house to our own airlines.
 
Chip Munn said:
If US Airways truly wanted to keep Pittsburgh as a hub, why would the airline pay the additional rent, unless the airline had another opportunity, which is believed to be a westward option?

Thus as I have said before, if the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania and the ACAA truly want a deal, I strongly believe the government should immediately find ways to raise revenue, presumably from riverboat gambling, to pay down the huge airport debt burden, and to build a new arena for the Pittsburgh Penguins, who could leave Pittsburgh as well.

In conclusion, I believe its imperative the ACAA find a way to immediately reach an acceptable long-term accord with US Airways on the Pittsburgh airport, or Western Pennsylvania will see its hub airport become a focus city, the County could see about $50 of $70 million in airport revenue evaporate this fall, and the airline could fly
Chip --
I have read your posts with some interests, but I feel I must comment on this one.

You keep saying things like "If ACAA wants a deal...". What about US Airways taking actions that are the best for US Airways? If there really is a "westward opportunity" (which I highly doubt) that is more lucrative than PIT, then why doesn't U go for it?

Quit this "negotiating", pack up, and say "Westward ho"!

Either PIT fits into their long-term plans or it doesn't. The fact that these "negotiations" potentially determines PIT's future with U tells me that, in fact, US Airways has NO long-term plan. They've decided to auction their operations off to the lowest bidder.

And frankly, as most anyone can tell you, that's not a sustainable strategy.
 
Seems to me this is a good strategy for U, commit to as little as possible which gives them flexibility in the future.

The risk is on the month to month leases the rates get increased but then U could just walk away from them.

According to the USToday travel guy (Mutzbaugh), the two LCC that were coming in to PIT are now delaying.

So it sounds like a low risk move for U with future flexibility
 
Chip Munn said:
This sounds like to me we are moving more towards a focus city than a hub.
Chip -
RE: RES & facilities

Winston RES in its current office space does not have any room. They are full. U would have to lease another building or additional floors in the current building and I don't know if that is a possibility.
A rumor that has been floating around for a while now is that res can be moved to BHM - I guess our new owner would like some jobs in his state. How realistic is that?
 

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