Am I the only one, who thinks it's possible, that AA might not buy ANY, and opt for the 777 for all long haul, or medium haul needing wb capacity, such as JFK-SJU/SDQ....And 738's, and launch customer for the next generation 737 ??
Obviously the 75's and 763's would become AA's version of NW's DC-9's, until "fresh horses" arrived !
HEL*, you could even keep the dozen 762's around for JFK/LAX(only) for as long as it took, given the EXCELLENT Maint. those birds get.
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Bears, there's no way AA or any other airline can ignore the new fuel efficient 787 or comparable Airbus products - assuming the promised fuel efficiency actually happens. AA will eventually have to order a couple hundred new fuel efficient airplanes.
Boeing has said that the 787 will deliver a 20% increase in fuel efficiency over comparable airplanes (like the 767). With an annual jet fuel bill of $7 billion to $8 billion, a 20% increase fleet-wide would be a fuel savings of $1.4 to $1.6 billion, and that would pay a lot of airplane lease payments. The payback period from fuel efficient airplanes gets shorter and shorter the higher oil goes, up to the point where air travel demand diminishes due to higher ticket prices.
I disagree that the 762 is the perfect size for the transcons; in my nearly weekly transcons in 2007, I rarely saw an empty seat in any cabin. The 762s are packed to the gills. On some flights, biz and first were selling out days in advance. Since the 762 engine blew apart at LAX, the JFK-LAX frequency has been down to about 10 a day from 11 a day, eliminating the 10:00pm LAX-JFK redeye (leaving the 9:30pm and 11:00pm).
Until the DC-10s were retired and the 763s were converted to 2 class from 3 class, those airplanes ran a lot of the transcons. AA only had 8 non-ER 762s plying the transcons, since most of the ERs flew international routes.
777s on the transcons? Makes sense if industry consolidation reduces overcapacity - if the six legacies combine into three, and the CO, DL, AA and UA NYC-LAX are consolidated, then perhaps a few 777s could be used in place of the 762s.
The 787-9 would be perfect for these transcons; it's a little larger than a 763 and promises to burn less fuel. Lots of interior cabin room for 10-12 lie-flat coffins in F (the old 763 lie-flat F seats), 30-36 J seats and 160 or so coach seats. A dozen flights a day like that between JFK and LAX and half a dozen a day to SFO and AA would rule from JFK. Simply gotta buy them.