Beuler, beuler, anybody, Beuler.......thank you simone.......
Ok merger committee / intergration goups are in full blown meetings...(ok so they met a few times recently) also exit from bankrupcty is approaching (ie whatever jets are going to be returned are being decided on about now). the publicly available data about the merger indicates a reduced (from current size) total combined fleet to the tune of about 60 or so less airplanes. It is generally expected that these 60 will be from the US side since they are in BK and can reject the leases.
ok simple math 13 pilots per x 61= 793 reductions
other formulas ... call it 3400 current = 260 fleet as to 200 = 2615 total
of course if there are saya 200 retirements the 793 becomes 593 and so on...
assumptions
1. reduction in total combined fleet size comes from only the US side
2. current staffing of 13/plane
3. other numbers were round number guesses (3400/260)
bottom line, a new pilot bid probably will be published shortly after any rejection of airplane leases which should be an indication of exit of BK is imminet.
so the question is put forth.
more Pilot Furloughs to come? ( this of course would imply other groups to but you can directly formulate pilots/airplane ratios) if so, how many? based on what is your guess? staffing formulas changing? more retirements, will the pilots (the only group not to recieve any early out option finally get one?)
lets here your thoughts/guesses.
obviously the hulls are kept thru the summer to maximize revenue generation and as history proves post labor day a drop off occurs and sept is the project BK exit. so i would suspect an OCT bid to show the reductions if there are any
h34r:
Ok merger committee / intergration goups are in full blown meetings...(ok so they met a few times recently) also exit from bankrupcty is approaching (ie whatever jets are going to be returned are being decided on about now). the publicly available data about the merger indicates a reduced (from current size) total combined fleet to the tune of about 60 or so less airplanes. It is generally expected that these 60 will be from the US side since they are in BK and can reject the leases.
ok simple math 13 pilots per x 61= 793 reductions
other formulas ... call it 3400 current = 260 fleet as to 200 = 2615 total
of course if there are saya 200 retirements the 793 becomes 593 and so on...
assumptions
1. reduction in total combined fleet size comes from only the US side
2. current staffing of 13/plane
3. other numbers were round number guesses (3400/260)
bottom line, a new pilot bid probably will be published shortly after any rejection of airplane leases which should be an indication of exit of BK is imminet.
so the question is put forth.
more Pilot Furloughs to come? ( this of course would imply other groups to but you can directly formulate pilots/airplane ratios) if so, how many? based on what is your guess? staffing formulas changing? more retirements, will the pilots (the only group not to recieve any early out option finally get one?)
lets here your thoughts/guesses.
obviously the hulls are kept thru the summer to maximize revenue generation and as history proves post labor day a drop off occurs and sept is the project BK exit. so i would suspect an OCT bid to show the reductions if there are any
h34r:
